Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+121) Cincinnati (-131)

Great American Ball Park is the venue where Luis Castillo and the Cincinnati Reds (9-6, 1st in NL Central) will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-10, 4th in NL West) on Tuesday. The Reds open this contest at -131 while the Diamondbacks are priced at +121. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Zac Gallen and Luis Castillo.

As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are notching 4.6 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in MLB. They have tallied 73 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .311. The Diamondbacks have accumulated 20 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 22 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 69 runs batted in in addition to 125 base knocks this season, and their average at the plate comes in at .223. Arizona has a slugging % of .388 and have struck out 148 times, while being walked on 67 occasions.

Diamondbacks pitchers have conceded 24 home runs and 83 total runs (28th in MLB). They have walked 51 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.72 as a unit for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.53 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.40. The Diamondbacks have compiled a team earned run average of 4.75 so far this year (24th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 129 batters.

The Diamondbacks have dispatched 53 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have inherited 17 runners so far this season with 23.5% of them crossed the plate. They have recorded 2 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 4 of 6 save chances. The Diamondbacks bullpen have earned a save percentage of 33.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 17 save situations. The bullpen have accumulated 11 holds this year (3rd in the league). Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 14 times as well as having 18 appearances in high leverage situations.

Gallen has taken the hill for 156 innings and has accounted for 186 strikeouts during his career. Gallen (6-8 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.64 while he has faced 643 opposing hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.77 (48 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.173. He has surrendered 120 base knocks (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has 63 walks.

The Reds have a slugging percentage of .470 and they earn 6.07 runs per game (1st in the league). They have 29 two-baggers, while taking a walk 48 times and notching 91 runs. Cincinnati has accounted for 24 HRs this year as well as 86 runs batted in. They have struck out on 137 instances (21st in baseball) and have 135 base knocks. The Cincinnati Reds have a team OBP of .338 as well as a batting average of .264 on the campaign.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.263 in addition to having a FIP of 4.56 as a team so far this season. They come in at 11th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 113. The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 67 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.26 (63 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.67 (147 strikeouts vs 55 bases on balls). They have allowed 24 HR's and they relinquish 4.53 runs per 9 innings (18th in baseball).

Sitting with 9 save situations, the Reds have 4 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Cincinnati has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 5 save opportunities and they have walked away with 3 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 11 times in high leverage situations and on 15 occasions with runners on. Cincinnati relievers hold an inherited score rate of 47.4% out of their 19 inherited base runners. They sit at 13th in the league with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 50 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the year.

Castillo (33-34 career record) has a 3.72 ERA while surrendering 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.16 and he has faced 2,207 hitters during his career. He has conceded 221 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.176 and having a FIP of 3.8. So far in his pro baseball career, Castillo has surrendered 442 base knocks while he has totaled 590 strikeouts in 535 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+121)

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