Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Wednesday, April 21, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+152) Cincinnati (-165)

Tyler Mahle and the Cincinnati Reds (9-6, 1st in NL Central) play the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-10, 4th in NL West) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The Diamondbacks open this contest at +152 while the Reds are priced at -165. The O/U opens at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Merrill Kelly and Tyler Mahle.

The Diamondbacks have accrued 20 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 22 baseballs out of the stadium. Arizona has a slugging rate of .388 and have struck out 148 times, while being walked on 67 occasions. As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are notching 4.6 runs per game, which has them sitting at 10th in baseball. They have accumulated 69 RBI's in addition to 125 hits for the year, and their batting average sits at .223. They have earned 73 runs scored and hold an OBP of .311.

The Diamondbacks have an earned run average of 4.75 this year (22nd in the league), and they have struck out 129 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 51 opposing players and their FIP is 4.72 as a unit on the year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.40. Diamondbacks pitchers have given up 24 long balls and 83 runs in total (27th in MLB).

The Diamondbacks have dispatched 53 relievers to the hill this year. The relievers have inherited 17 runners for the year with 23.5% of them crossed home plate. They have 2 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 4 out of their 6 save opportunities. The Diamondbacks relievers have accumulated a save rate of 33.3% and has stepped onto the mound in 17 save situations. The relievers have racked up 11 holds so far this year (4th in MLB). Diamondbacks relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 14 times in addition to having 18 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a total of 427 putouts thus far, as well as 149 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .981 which ranks 19th in the majors, and they have twisted 100 double plays. The Diamondbacks have turned 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,281 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 24th in baseball.

Kelly (17-18 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.53 while he has gone up against 976 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 233 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) with 66 walks. His ERA is 4.45 (114 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.296. Kelly has taken the ball for 230 innings and has accumulated 197 K's in his MLB career.

The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .470 and they score 6.07 runs per game (1st in the league). They have recorded 29 two-baggers, while walking 48 times and scoring 91 runs. Cincinnati has 24 home runs this season and 86 RBIs. They have been rung up on 137 occasions (22nd in MLB) and have recorded 135 base hits. The Cincinnati Reds have recorded an OBP of .338 as well as a batting average of .264 over the course of the season.

The Reds have a team WHIP of 1.263 and have a FIP of 4.56 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.67 (147 strikeouts against 55 walks). They sit at 7th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 113. They have relinquished 24 long balls and they relinquish 4.53 runs per 9 innings (18th in the league). The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 67 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 4.26 (63 earned runs relinquished).

Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 47.4% out of their 19 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 11 times in high leverage situations and also on 15 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 9 save situations, the Reds have amassed 4 holds and also 2 blown saves. They are ranked 13th in baseball holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 50 relievers onto the field for the season. Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 5 save chances and they have converted 3 saves.

In 1,197 innings played, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (12th in pro baseball). The Cincinnati Reds have twisted 13 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (15th in professional baseball). The Reds have accrued 130 assists, 9 errors and have notched a total of 399 putouts this season.

So far in his career, Mahle has allowed 321 base knocks while he has tallied 335 punch outs in 323 frames. He has given up a total of 165 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.382 and a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.66 and he has gone up against 1,412 hitters thus far in his career. Mahle (14-26 career record) has a 4.59 ERA while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+152)

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