Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/22/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Thursday, April 22, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+133) Cincinnati (-143)

Jeff Hoffman and the Cincinnati Reds (9-6, 1st in NL Central) play the Arizona Diamondbacks (6-10, 4th in NL West) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday. The Reds open this game at -143 while the Diamondbacks are coming in at +133. The O/U is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Taylor Widener and Jeff Hoffman.

The Diamondbacks have hit 23 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 23 baseballs out of the stadium. Arizona has a slugging percentage of .393 and have struck out 157 times, while drawing a walk on 75 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are compiling 4.6 runs per outing, which has them at 10th in the league. They have compiled 73 RBI's and 134 hits on the year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .227. They have racked up 78 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .320.

The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.77 on the campaign (25th in the league), and they have rung up 136 batters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.39 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.41. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 25 long balls and also 87 total runs (29th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 57 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.73 as a unit on the campaign.

The Diamondbacks bullpen have earned a save rate of 28.6% and has come into the game in 18 save situations. The relievers have inherited 20 base runners so far this season and 25.0% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 16 times in addition to having 18 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 56 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen are sitting with 11 holds on the year (4th in MLB). They have earned 2 saves this year and have blown 5 of 7 save opportunities.

The Diamondbacks have transformed 68.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,281 innings, which ranks them 24th in the majors. The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 427 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 149 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which has them sitting 19th in the majors, and have a total of 100 double plays.

Widener (1-1 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 5.16 while facing 158 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 28 hits (6.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 17 free passes. His earned run average is 3.16 (13 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.216. Widener has thrown 37 innings and has totaled 33 K's thus far in his career.

The Cincinnati Reds have tallied an on-base percentage of .338 and a batting average of .261 so far this season. They have struck out on 144 occasions (24th in the league) and have totaled 140 base hits. Cincinnati has knocked in 25 home runs on the season and 90 runs batted in. The Reds hold a slugging percentage of .464 and they tally 5.94 runs per contest (1st in the league). They have 30 two-baggers, while getting a free base 54 times and scoring 95 runs.

The Reds have a WHIP of 1.320 and have a FIP of 4.64 as a staff so far this season. They come in at 9th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 122. The Cincinnati pitching staff have given up 72 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 4.24 (66 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.48 (156 strikeouts vs 63 walks). They have surrendered 25 dingers and they allow 4.63 runs per 9 innings (17th in MLB).

Cincinnati relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 47.6% out of their 21 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 14 times in high leverage situations and on 16 occasions with base runners. With 10 save situations, the Reds have amassed 4 holds and 3 blown saves. They rank 19th in baseball with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 55 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Cincinnati has called on relievers to enter the game in 6 save opportunities and they have tallied 3 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 13 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (15th in professional baseball). The Reds have accrued 130 assists, 9 errors and have a total of 399 putouts so far this year. In their 1,197 innings played, the Reds have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.2% (12th in professional baseball).

Thus far in his career, Hoffman has conceded 283 hits while totaling 209 strikeouts in 246 frames. Hoffman (12-17 win-loss record in his career) has a 6.18 earned run average and has allowed 10.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 169 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.610 and having a FIP of 5.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.85 and he has gone up against 1,114 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-143)

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