Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, May 4, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+112) Miami (-122)

Marlins Park is the venue where Sandy Alcantara and the Miami Marlins (11-16, 5th in NL East) will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-13, 4th in NL West) on Tuesday. The Marlins open this matchup at -122 while the Diamondbacks are priced at +112. The O/U opens at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Riley Smith and Sandy Alcantara.

The Diamondbacks have accrued 44 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 39 baseballs out of the stadium. Arizona has a slugging % of .425 and have struck out 246 times, while drawing a walk on 110 occasions. As a squad, the Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.4 runs/g, which has them at 2nd in baseball. They have accrued 139 runs batted in in addition to 232 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate is at .240. They are sitting with 150 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .323.

The Diamondbacks hold a team earned run average of 4.84 on the year (24th in the league), and the staff has rung up 233 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 90 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.46 as a team for the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.59 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. Diamondbacks pitchers have relinquished 38 long balls and 144 runs (28th in the league).

The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 36.4% and has come into the game in 27 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 31 runners for the season with 29.0% of them crossed home plate. Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 26 times in addition to having 27 appearances in high leverage situations. The Diamondbacks have sent 97 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 16 holds for the season (9th in MLB). They have accumulated 4 saves so far this year and have missed out on 7 of their 11 chances to get a save.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have a tally of 742 putouts so far this season, as well as 253 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .982 which puts them in 20th in the majors, and have earned 170 double plays. The Diamondbacks have transformed 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,226 innings, which ranks them 24th in the majors.

Smith has taken the hill for 35 innings and has earned 25 strikeouts during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.06 (12 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.330. He has surrendered 36 base knocks (9.2 hits per 9 innings) with 11 walks. Smith (3-1 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.41 while he has gone up against 145 hitters in the major leagues.

Miami has tallied 23 home runs for the year and 101 runs batted in. They have put up 39 doubles, while taking a walk 90 times and putting up 107 runs. The Miami Marlins have accounted for an on-base percentage of .304 and a team batting average of .225 for the season. The Marlins hold a team SLG% of .357 and they score 3.96 runs per contest (23rd in MLB). They have struck out on 264 occasions (10th in baseball) and have a total of 202 hits.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.159 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a unit this season. They come in at 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 195. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 103 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.51 (93 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.88 (233 strikeouts vs 81 free passes). They have allowed 28 HR's and they allow 3.89 runs per 9 innings (7th in baseball).

Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.7% out of 28 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 33 times in high leverage situations and also on 19 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 19 save situations, the Marlins have recorded 7 holds and also 8 blown saves. They rank 30th in MLB with a save rate of 33.3%, and they have dispatched 101 bullpen pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 12 save chances and they have walked away with 4 saves.

Out of their 2,148 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.4% (9th in the majors). The Miami Marlins have turned 29 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (16th in the majors). The Marlins have racked up 244 assists, 16 errors and have earned a total of 716 putouts for the season.

During his career, Alcantara has allowed 273 base knocks while he has accumulated 266 K's in 318 frames. Alcantara (12-21 career win-loss mark) has a 3.65 earned run average and has conceded 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 129 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.285 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.96 and he has faced 1,341 opposing batters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (-122)

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