Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins

Date: Thursday, May 6, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+134) Miami (-145)

Nick Neidert and the Miami Marlins (12-16, 5th in NL East) play the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-14, 4th in NL West) at Marlins Park on Thursday. The moneyline on this game has the Diamondbacks coming in at +134 and the Marlins are at -145. The O/U is set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Madison Bumgarner and Nick Neidert.

The Diamondbacks have recorded 45 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 40 baseballs out of the stadium. Arizona has a slugging % of .423 and have been rung up 258 times, while taking a walk on 113 occasions. As a unit, the Arizona Diamondbacks are notching 5.3 runs per contest, which has them at 2nd in baseball. They have amassed 141 runs batted in in addition to 241 hits for the season, and their team batting average is sitting at .240. They have racked up 153 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.01 on the season (26th in the league), and the staff has struck out 239 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.57 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.38. Diamondbacks pitchers have relinquished 40 home runs and 153 runs in total (28th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 93 hitters and their FIP is 4.51 as a team for the year.

The Diamondbacks have dispatched 101 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have inherited 32 runners over the course of the season and 31.3% of those players crossed the plate. They have recorded 4 saves on the season and have blown 7 of 11 save opportunities. The Diamondbacks relievers have recorded a save percentage of 36.4% and has come into the game in 27 save situations. The relievers have recorded 16 holds for the season (16th in MLB). Diamondbacks pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 27 times in addition to having 28 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Diamondbacks have turned 68.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,298 innings, which has them ranked 27th in MLB. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for 766 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 261 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .982 which is 23rd in professional baseball, and they have turned 175 double plays.

Bumgarner has taken the ball for 1,918 frames and is sitting with 1,857 K's during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.24 (691 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.120. He has surrendered 1,697 base hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) and has had 451 walks. Bumgarner (123-98 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.42 while he has faced 7,829 opposing batters in the majors.

The Miami Marlins have a team OBP of .307 and a team batting average of .230 on the season. They have been rung up on 270 occasions (13th in the league) and have earned 214 base knocks. Miami is sitting with 25 HRs for the year as well as 109 runs batted in. The Marlins have a team slugging % of .365 and they tally 4.14 runs per game (19th in MLB). They have hit 41 two-baggers, while taking a walk 93 times and putting up 116 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have allowed 106 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.46 (95 earned runs surrendered). They have surrendered 29 homers and they allow 3.86 runs per 9 innings (5th in baseball). The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.165 with a FIP of 3.89 as a staff so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.92 (245 strikeouts vs 84 free passes). They are currently ranked 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 204.

Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 32.3% out of 31 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 36 times in high leverage situations and also on 20 occasions with base runners. With 21 save situations, the Marlins have tallied 8 holds and also 9 blown saves. They are ranked 30th in the league with a save percentage of 30.8%, and they have dispatched 105 relievers to the hill so far this year. Miami has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 13 save chances and they have walked away with 4 saves.

In 2,229 innings on the diamond, the Marlins are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (12th in MLB). The Miami Marlins have turned 30 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (24th in baseball). The Marlins have racked up 252 assists, 19 errors and are sitting with 743 putouts so far this season.

So far in his career, Neidert has given up 23 hits while he has tallied 12 strikeouts in 20 frames. Neidert (0-1 record in his career) has a 6.20 ERA while giving up 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 14 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.770 and being the owner of a FIP of 6.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 0.92 and he has gone up against 91 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (-145)

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