Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets Prediction, 5/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, May 7, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+129) New York (-139)

David Peterson and the New York Mets (12-13, 2nd in NL East) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (15-15, 4th in NL West) at Citi Field on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Diamondbacks coming in at +129 and the Mets are at -139. The total opens at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Zac Gallen and David Peterson.

The Diamondbacks have compiled 46 two-baggers as a team and have hit 40 balls out of the stadium. Arizona is slugging .415 and have been called out on strikes 269 times, while taking a walk on 116 occasions. As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are knocking in 5.1 runs/g, which is 2nd in baseball. They have accounted for 141 runs batted in in addition to 246 hits over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .238. They have a total of 153 runs while having a team OBP of .320.

Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 41 home runs in addition to 161 total runs (29th in the league). They have walked 95 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.46 as a unit on the year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.39. The Diamondbacks hold a team ERA of 5.13 this season (28th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 248 batters.

Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 27 times and also have had 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have tallied 16 holds on the year (16th in the league). The Diamondbacks relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 36.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 27 save situations. They have accumulated 4 saves this year and have missed out on 7 out of their 11 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 32 base runners over the course of the season with 31.3% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Diamondbacks have dispatched 104 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have amassed 790 putouts on the campaign, as well as 266 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .982 which has them sitting 19th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 182 double plays. The Diamondbacks have transformed 68.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 2,370 innings, which has them sitting 27th in professional baseball.

Gallen has taken the ball for 172 innings and has racked up 205 strikeouts thus far in his career. His ERA is 2.87 (55 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.170. He has given up 131 hits (6.8 hits per nine innings) with 71 walks. Gallen (7-9 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.54 while he has faced 714 hitters in the majors.

The New York Mets have compiled an OBP of .323 as well as a team batting average of .238 on the campaign. They have struck out on 203 instances (30th in MLB) and have tallied 188 base hits. New York is sitting with 20 home runs for the season as well as 79 RBIs. The Mets have a team slugging percentage of .362 and they tally 3.36 runs per contest (29th in baseball). They have 34 doubles, while getting a free base 83 times and notching 84 runs.

The New York pitching staff have conceded 95 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 3.23 (74 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 17 homers and they surrender 4.15 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.121 and are the owners of a FIP of 2.85 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 3.80 (243 strikeouts against 64 walks). They rank 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 167.

Sitting with 11 save situations, the Mets have 4 holds and also 3 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to enter the contest in 7 save chances and they have earned 4 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 19 times in high leverage situations and also on 15 occasions with base runners. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 37.0% out of their 27 inherited base runners. They are ranked 22nd in baseball holding a save rate of 57.1%, and they have sent 72 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year.

The New York Mets have turned 21 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (23rd in professional baseball). The Mets have racked up 206 assists, 16 errors and have earned a total of 619 putouts this year. In 1,857 innings played, the Mets have a efficiency on defense of 68.4% (25th in MLB).

In his career, Peterson has given up 58 hits while he has earned 69 strikeouts in 74 innings pitched. Peterson (7-5 career mark) has a 3.89 ERA while giving up 7.1 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 32 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.216 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.16 and he has faced 305 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-139)

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