Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, April 1, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+196) San Diego (-215)

Yu Darvish and the San Diego Padres (37-23, 2nd in NL West last season) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (25-35, 5th in NL West last year) at Petco Park on Thursday. The Padres open this game at -215 while the Diamondbacks are coming in at +196. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Madison Bumgarner and Yu Darvish.

As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks put up 4.5 runs per game last year, which had them sitting at 18th in MLB. They notched a total of 269 runs while holding a team OBP of .312. The Diamondbacks tallied 101 doubles as a unit and hit 58 baseballs out of the park. They amassed 255 RBI's in addition to 482 base knocks over the course of the prior season, and their team batting average finished at .241. Arizona had a slugging percentage of .391 and were called out on strikes 461 times, while being walked on 181 occasions.

The Diamondbacks finished with a team earned run average of 4.85 in the prior season (20th in baseball), and the staff struck out 524 batters. They accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.23 and their pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.43. Diamondbacks pitchers allowed 93 long balls and 295 runs (14th in baseball). They walked 235 opposing batters and their FIP finished at 4.99 as a team last year. The Diamondbacks relief pitchers accumulated a save rate of 59.1% and came into the game in 44 save situations. The relievers inherited 96 runners over the course of last season and 31.3% of those runners ended up scoring. Diamondbacks relief pitchers entered the game with runners on base in 62 contests and also 53 games with high leverage. The Diamondbacks had sent 200 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the prior season. The relievers racked up 21 holds last year (26th in baseball). They earned 13 saves for the prior year and missed out on 9 of 22 save chances.

Bumgarner had a FIP of 7.18 and his ERA+ was 71. He allowed 30 earned runs last season with a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.3. He gave up 10.2 hits per 9 innings and he had a WHIP of 1.44. His ERA was 6.48 and he fanned 30 hitters. Madison Bumgarner gave up 47 hits in 41.2 innings pitched throughout last season. Bumgarner (120-96 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.41 and he has faced 7,697 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,669 hits (8.0 hits per nine innings) with 441 free passes. His ERA is 3.20 (672 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.118. Bumgarner has pitched in 1,887 innings and is sitting with 1,824 punch outs in his pro baseball career.

San Diego had a total of 95 home runs for the prior year and 312 runs batted in. They hit 103 two-baggers, while taking a walk 204 times and notching 325 runs. The San Diego Padres recorded a team OBP of .333 in addition to a team batting average of .257 during the previous year. The Padres held a slugging percentage of .466 and they were scoring 5.42 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They struck out on 479 occasions (25th in MLB) and had a total of 506 base knocks.

The San Diego pitching staff yielded 241 runs over the course of last year while holding a team ERA of 3.86 (223 earned runs relinquished). They allowed 70 home runs and they relinquished 4.17 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Padres had a team WHIP of 1.204 with a FIP of 3.88 as a team for the previous season. Their K/BB ratio came in at 3.32 (565 strikeouts vs 170 free passes). They were ranked 20th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 456. San Diego bullpen pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 26.0% out of 93 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound in 61 games with high leverage and also 63 outings with runners on. Finishing with 24 opportunities for a save, the Padres had 42 holds and 11 blown saves. They were sitting at 22nd in baseball with a save rate of 54.2%, and they dispatched 218 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond last season. San Diego called on relievers to take the mound in 67 save situations and they converted 13 saves.

Darvish allowed 59 base knocks while he surrendered 17 earned runs (2.01 ERA). His WHIP was at 0.96 and he was the owner of a FIP of 2.23 last season. He pitched in 76.0 innings last season while giving up 7 H/9. Darvish earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 6.6 with 93 total strikeouts and he was the owner of an ERA+ of 212. So far in his pro baseball career, Darvish has surrendered 909 base knocks while he has earned 1,392 strikeouts in 1,127 innings. He has given up 434 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.160 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.50 and he has gone up against 4,652 hitters in his career. Darvish (71-56 career mark) is the owner of a 3.47 earned run average while allowing 7.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-215)

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