Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 7/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers

Date: Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-125) Texas (+100)

Jordan Lyles and the Texas Rangers (35-65, 5th in AL West) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (31-70, 5th in NL West) at Globe Life Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Diamondbacks priced at -125 and the Rangers are at +100. The O/U opens at 9. The starting pitchers will be Madison Bumgarner and Jordan Lyles.

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The Diamondbacks have tallied 183 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 91 baseballs out of the stadium. Arizona has a slugging % of .379 and have struck out 908 times, while being walked on 348 occasions. As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are notching 4.2 runs per contest, which is 22nd in MLB. They have accumulated 398 runs batted in and 803 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .234. They have a total of 422 runs scored while having a team OBP of .311.

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The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.31 on the season (29th in the league), and they have rung up 788 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 335 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.88 as a squad on the campaign. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.35 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.45. Diamondbacks pitchers have given up 148 home runs and 572 runs in total (30th in baseball).

Diamondbacks pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 84 times in addition to having 87 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 44 holds this year (22nd in MLB). The Diamondbacks relievers have earned a save rate of 38.7% and has entered the game in 76 save situations. They have recorded 12 saves this season and have missed out on 19 out of their 31 save chances. The relief pitchers have inherited 127 runners on the season with 29.1% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Diamondbacks have sent 349 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have earned 2,631 putouts so far this season, in addition to 888 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which has them sitting 22nd in the majors, and have a total of 623 double plays. The Diamondbacks have converted 67.8% of balls in play into outs in their 7,893 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB.

Bumgarner (124-102 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.44 while he has gone up against 7,999 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,735 base hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 460 walks. His ERA is 3.27 (712 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.121. Bumgarner has taken the hill for 1,958 innings and is sitting with 1,893 K's so far in his career.

The Rangers hold a team SLG% of .371 and they earn 3.84 runs per game (29th in baseball). They have recorded 120 two-baggers, while taking a walk 296 times as well as racking up 384 runs. Texas has 110 home runs for the season as well as 367 RBIs. They have been rung up on 893 occasions (14th in MLB) and have 746 hits. The Texas Rangers have tallied an on-base percentage of .296 as well as a team batting average of .226 this season.

The Texas pitching staff have yielded 496 runs on the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.74 (461 earned runs given up). They have conceded 144 HR's and they surrender 5.10 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The Rangers hold a team WHIP of 1.352 in addition to having a FIP of 4.66 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 (789 strikeouts vs 309 free passes). They sit at 26th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 874.

Texas has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 31 save chances and they have come away with 17 saves. They rank 25th in the league with a save rate of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 299 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 82 times in high leverage situations and also on 89 occasions with runners on. Texas relievers have an inherited score percentage of 37.5% out of 136 inherited runners. Sitting with 62 save situations, the Rangers have recorded 30 holds and 14 blown saves.

The Texas Rangers have turned 87 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (14th in professional baseball). The Rangers have 903 assists, 57 errors and have earned 2,625 putouts on the campaign. In 7,875 innings played, the Rangers have a defensive efficiency of 69.1% (21st in professional baseball).

Lyles (49-73 career win-loss record) has earned a 5.22 ERA while conceding 9.9 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.19 and he has faced 4,743 hitters during his career. He has surrendered 623 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.444 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.7. During his career, Lyles has conceded 1,180 hits while earning 816 K's in 1,074 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (+100)

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