Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 9/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Monday, September 20, 2021

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-152) Arizona (+115)

Chase Field is the site where Luke Weaver and the Arizona Diamondbacks (48-101, 5th in NL West) will play the Atlanta Braves (76-70, 1st in NL East) on Monday. The Diamondbacks open this game at +115 while the Braves are priced at -152. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Touki Toussaint and Luke Weaver.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.8 runs per outing, which puts them at 8th in the league. They are sitting with 706 runs while holding a team OBP of .319. The Braves have earned 234 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 217 balls out of the park. They have accrued 679 RBI's and 1,173 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average is at .242. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .431 and have been rung up 1,307 times, while taking a walk on 507 occasions.

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Braves pitchers have allowed 171 home runs in addition to 611 total runs (8th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 475 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.12 as a squad so far this year. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.26. The Braves hold a team earned run average of 3.98 so far this year (13th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,302 hitters.

The Braves have dispatched 526 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 173 base runners on the season with 33.5% of those players crossed the plate. They have earned 34 saves on the year and have missed out on 24 of their 58 save opportunities. The Braves bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 58.6% and has entered the game in 163 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 104 holds on the season (2nd in the league). Braves pitchers have entered the game with players on base 119 times as well as having 208 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 3,833 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,331 assists and 66 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which has them ranked 3rd in pro baseball, and they have twisted 1,034 double plays. The Braves have turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,499 innings on the field, which ranks them 7th in the majors.

Toussaint has taken the ball for 145 innings and has accounted for 155 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Toussaint (9-6 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 5.37 and he has gone up against 657 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 5.46 (88 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.497. He has allowed 132 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 85 walks.

Arizona is sitting with 132 home runs so far this year to go along with 589 runs batted in. They have put up 279 two-baggers, while getting a free base 494 times as well as scoring 620 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accounted for an OBP of .309 and a team batting average of .235 for the season. The Diamondbacks hold a team SLG% of .381 and they tally 4.19 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,349 occasions (9th in the league) and have a total of 1,181 hits.

The Diamondbacks hold a team WHIP of 1.436 in addition to having a FIP of 4.87 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.20 (1,117 strikeouts vs 507 free passes). They are currently ranked 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,352. They have allowed 209 dingers and they surrender 5.70 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league). The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 820 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 5.13 (738 earned runs allowed).

Arizona relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 33.0% out of 194 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 139 times in high leverage situations and on 134 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 111 save situations, the Diamondbacks have accrued 62 holds and 26 blown saves. They are currently ranked 30th in baseball with a save percentage of 44.7%, and they have dispatched 513 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Arizona has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 47 save chances and they have converted 21 saves.

In 11,655 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks hold a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (25th in MLB). The Arizona Diamondbacks have twisted 102 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in the majors). The Diamondbacks have 1,269 assists, 90 errors and have earned 3,885 putouts so far this season.

So far in his MLB career, Weaver has surrendered 421 hits and he has 411 strikeouts in 404 innings pitched. Weaver (23-34 career mark) has a 4.67 ERA and has conceded 9.4 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 210 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.365 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.14 and he has gone up against 1,752 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (-152)

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