Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/26/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros

Date: Tuesday, October 26, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+105) Houston (-152)

Framber Valdez and the Houston Astros (95-67, 1st in AL West) host the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) at Minute Maid Park on Tuesday. The Astros open this game at -152 while the Braves are coming in at +105. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Charlie Morton and Framber Valdez.

Atlanta is slugging .435 and have been called out on strikes 1,453 times, while being walked on 549 occasions. They have amassed 762 runs batted in and 1,307 hits on the year, and their average at the plate is at .244. The Braves have earned 269 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 239 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 790 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .319. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in the league.

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Braves pitchers have conceded 183 home runs and 656 runs in total (6th in baseball). They have walked 516 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.09 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. The Braves have a team ERA of 3.88 for the year (8th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,417 hitters.

The Braves relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 60.6% and has come into the game in 180 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 185 runners this year and 33.0% of those players crossed the plate. Braves relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 129 times in addition to having 221 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 581 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have 113 holds this year (2nd in baseball). They have accumulated 40 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 26 out of their 66 save opportunities.

The Braves have converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,696 innings, ranking them 5th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with 4,232 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,483 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which puts them in 3rd in baseball, and have a total of 1,126 double plays.

Morton has thrown 1,625 innings and is sitting with 1,492 K's so far in his career. Morton (107-95 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 3.72 while he has gone up against 6,956 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.00 (722 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.301. He has given up 1,538 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has 576 free passes.

Houston has a total of 221 home runs so far this year as well as 834 RBIs. They have put up 299 two-baggers, while walking 569 times as well as notching 863 runs. The Houston Astros have recorded an OBP of .339 in addition to a batting average of .267 this year. The Astros have a slugging percentage of .444 and they are recording 5.33 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have been rung up on 1,222 occasions (29th in MLB) and have accounted for 1,496 hits.

The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.230 in addition to having a FIP of 4.12 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They are currently ranked 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,229. The Houston pitching staff have allowed 658 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (604 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.65 (1,456 strikeouts against 549 bases on balls). They have given up 187 dingers and they allow 4.10 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball).

Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.1% out of their 202 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 166 times in high leverage situations in addition to 137 occasions with runners on. With 131 save situations, the Astros have compiled 69 holds and 27 blown saves. They rank 24th in the league with a save rate of 55.7%, and they have dispatched 512 relievers onto the field for the season. Houston has had relievers step onto the hill in 61 save opportunities and they have walked away with 34 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 126 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (1st in the majors). The Astros have recorded 1,432 assists, 71 errors and are sitting with 4,335 putouts for the year. Out of their 13,005 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (3rd in professional baseball).

In his career, Valdez has surrendered 269 base hits and he has 303 strikeouts in 313 innings. Valdez (24-17 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.74 ERA and has surrendered 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 130 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.313 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.13 and he has faced 1,343 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+105)

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