Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/27/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, October 27, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-110) Houston (-109)

Luis Garcia and the Houston Astros (95-67, 1st in AL West) host the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) at Minute Maid Park on Wednesday. The Braves open this matchup at -110 while the Astros are priced at -109. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Max Fried and Luis Garcia.

Atlanta is slugging .435 and have been called out on strikes 1,453 times, while being walked on 549 occasions. They have recorded 762 runs batted in as well as 1,307 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average comes in at .244. The Braves have earned 269 two-baggers as a team and have hit 239 balls out of the park. They have tallied 790 runs while holding a team OBP of .319. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.9 runs/g, which puts them at 7th in the league.

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The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 3.88 this season (8th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,417 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 516 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a unit on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have yielded 183 home runs and 656 runs (6th in the league).

The Braves relief pitchers have a save percentage of 60.6% and has come into the game in 180 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 185 runners for the year and 33.0% of those players ended up scoring. Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 129 times as well as having 221 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 581 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have racked up 113 holds for the year (2nd in the league). They have earned 40 saves this year and have blown 26 out of their 66 chances to get a save.

The Braves have converted 70.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 12,696 innings on the field, ranking them 5th in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 4,232 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,483 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them ranked 3rd in baseball, and have a total of 1,126 double plays.

Fried (40-18 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.55 and he has gone up against 1,856 batters in the majors. He has allowed 411 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 139 free passes. His earned run average is 3.34 (166 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.230. Fried has taken the mound for 447 innings and has accumulated 447 punch outs thus far in his career.

The Houston Astros have compiled an OBP of .339 in addition to a team batting average of .267 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,222 instances (29th in baseball) and have notched a total of 1,496 base hits. Houston has accounted for 221 home runs on the campaign to go along with 834 RBIs. The Astros hold a slugging % of .444 and they score 5.33 runs per outing (1st in the league). They have tallied 299 two-baggers, while getting a free base 569 times and recording 863 runs.

The Houston pitching staff have allowed 658 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (604 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 187 homers and they surrender 4.10 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Astros have a team WHIP of 1.230 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.12 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.65 (1,456 strikeouts against 549 walks). They are currently ranked 5th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,229.

Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.1% out of 202 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 166 times in high leverage situations and also on 137 occasions with runners on. With 131 save situations, the Astros have compiled 69 holds and also 27 blown saves. They sit at 24th in MLB with a save percentage of 55.7%, and they have sent 512 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 61 save chances and they have earned 34 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 126 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .988 (1st in the majors). The Astros have recorded 1,432 assists, 71 errors and have a tally of 4,335 putouts on the season. In their 13,005 innings on the field, the Astros are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (3rd in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Garcia has surrendered 139 hits while accumulating 176 K's in 167 innings pitched. Garcia (11-9 career record) has earned a 3.27 ERA while conceding 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 61 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.157 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.20 and he has faced 682 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-110)

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