Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Tuesday, October 19, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+153) Los Angeles (-185)

Dodger Stadium is the site where Walker Buehler and the Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56, 2nd in NL West) will play the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) on Tuesday in Game 3 of the NLCS. Atlanta leads the series 2-0 and won the last game by a score of 5-4. The Braves open this game at +153 while the Dodgers are coming in at -185. The O/U has been set at 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Walker Buehler.

The Braves have hit 269 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 239 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .435 and have struck out 1,453 times, while drawing a walk on 549 occasions. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are knocking in 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in MLB. They have compiled 762 RBI's as well as 1,307 base knocks over the course of the season, while their batting average comes in at .244. They have accounted for 790 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319.

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The Braves have an ERA of 3.88 for the year (8th in the league), and they have struck out 1,417 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 516 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.09 as a team for the year. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have conceded 183 home runs and also 656 runs in total (6th in MLB).

Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 129 times in addition to having 221 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 113 holds so far this year (2nd in baseball). The Braves bullpen have a save percentage of 60.6% and has entered the game in 180 save situations. They have compiled 40 saves on the year and have missed out on 26 out of their 66 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 185 base runners on the year and 33.0% of those players ended up scoring. The Braves have sent 581 relievers to the mound this year.

The Braves have turned 70.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,696 innings, which has them sitting 5th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 4,232 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,483 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them ranked 3rd in pro baseball, and have 1,126 double plays.

Morton (107-95 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.72 while he has faced 6,956 hitters in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,538 hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 576 free passes. His ERA is 4.00 (722 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.301. Morton has taken the hill for 1,625 innings and is sitting with 1,492 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have earned a team OBP of .330 in addition to a batting average of .244 over the course of the season. They have been rung up on 1,408 occasions (13th in baseball) and have recorded 1,330 hits. Los Angeles is sitting with 237 home runs on the year and 799 RBIs. The Dodgers have a slugging percentage of .429 and they are earning 5.12 runs per game (5th in the league). They have hit 247 doubles, while taking a walk 613 times and recording 830 runs.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.097 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.54 as a unit this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 (1,599 strikeouts vs 486 free passes). They come in at 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,107. They have allowed 161 HR's and they yield 3.48 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Los Angeles pitching staff have surrendered 561 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.01 (486 earned runs allowed).

Los Angeles relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 20.3% of 231 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 201 times in high leverage situations and also on 168 occasions with runners on. With 198 save situations, the Dodgers have 112 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. They rank 3rd in baseball with a save rate of 67.5%, and they have dispatched 600 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Los Angeles has had relievers step onto the mound in 83 save chances and they have walked away with 56 saves.

In 13,068 innings on the diamond, the Dodgers hold a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in professional baseball). The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 94 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in pro baseball). The Dodgers have accrued 1,303 assists, 89 errors and have earned a total of 4,356 putouts so far this year.

During his pro baseball career, Buehler has given up 432 base hits while he has tallied 632 K's in 573 frames. Buehler (40-13 career mark) has earned a 2.90 ERA while allowing 6.8 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 185 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.006 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.36 and he has gone up against 2,284 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+153)

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