Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Wednesday, October 20, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+160) Los Angeles (-174)

Dodger Stadium is the venue where Julio Urias and the Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56, 2nd in NL West) will play the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) on Wednesday in Game 4 of the NLCS. The Dodgers open this contest at -174 while the Braves are coming in at +160. The O/U has been set at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Huascar Ynoa and Julio Urias.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.9 runs per contest, which is 7th in the league. They have racked up 790 runs while holding a team OBP of .319. The Braves have accrued 269 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 239 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 762 RBI's and 1,307 hits on the year, while their team batting average is at .244. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .435 and have been called out on strikes 1,453 times, while drawing a walk on 549 occasions.

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The Braves have a team earned run average of 3.88 for the year (8th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,417 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 516 batters and their FIP is 4.09 as a unit for the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.24. Braves pitchers have surrendered 183 home runs and also 656 runs (6th in the league).

The Braves relievers have recorded a save percentage of 60.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 180 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 185 runners for the season and 33.0% of them earned a run for their team. Braves pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 129 times in addition to having 221 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 581 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have 113 holds on the year (2nd in MLB). They have compiled 40 saves for the season and have not converted 26 of 66 chances to save the game.

The Atlanta Braves have a tally of 4,232 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,483 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which has them sitting 3rd in baseball, and they have turned 1,126 double plays. The Braves have turned 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,696 innings on the field, ranking them 5th in pro baseball.

Ynoa has pitched in 115 frames and is sitting with 120 punch outs during his career. Ynoa (4-6 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.18 and he has gone up against 488 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.75 (61 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.245. He has surrendered 105 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 39 free passes.

Los Angeles has a total of 237 home runs so far this season and 799 runs batted in. They have notched 247 doubles, while walking 613 times as well as putting up 830 runs. The Los Angeles Dodgers have an on-base percentage of .330 and a team batting average of .244 so far this year. The Dodgers have a team slugging % of .429 and they average 5.12 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,408 instances (13th in MLB) and have earned 1,330 hits.

The Dodgers have a team WHIP of 1.097 in addition to having a FIP of 3.54 as a staff over the course of the season. They sit at 1st in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,107. The Los Angeles pitching staff have allowed 561 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.01 (486 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 (1,599 strikeouts against 486 bases on balls). They have allowed 161 HR's and they allow 3.48 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball).

Los Angeles bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 20.3% out of 231 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 201 times in high leverage situations in addition to 168 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 198 save situations, the Dodgers have recorded 112 holds and 27 blown saves. They are ranked 3rd in MLB holding a save rate of 67.5%, and they have sent 600 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Los Angeles has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 83 save opportunities and they have walked away with 56 saves.

Out of their 13,068 innings on the field, the Dodgers have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in pro baseball). The Los Angeles Dodgers have twisted 94 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in MLB). The Dodgers have recorded 1,303 assists, 89 errors and have earned 4,356 putouts so far this year.

Urias (32-10 record in his career) has earned a 3.09 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.34 and he has gone up against 1,746 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 146 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.149 and a FIP of 3.3. During his career, Urias has conceded 360 base knocks while he has earned 427 punch outs in 424 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-174)

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