Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, 10/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Thursday, October 21, 2021

Location: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+190) Los Angeles (-210)

Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves (88-73, 1st in NL East) are headed to Dodger Stadium on Thursday where they'll take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (106-56, 2nd in NL West). The Braves open this game at +190 while the Dodgers are priced at -210. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Max Fried and Corey Knebel.

The Braves have accumulated 269 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 239 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .435 and have been called out on strikes 1,453 times, while drawing a walk on 549 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.9 runs per game, which puts them at 7th in the league. They have amassed 762 RBI's and 1,307 hits on the campaign, while their batting average is sitting at .244. They have earned a total of 790 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319.

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Braves pitchers have relinquished 183 home runs in addition to 656 total runs (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 516 opposing players and their FIP is 4.09 as a squad so far this season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.75 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24. The Braves are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.88 on the campaign (8th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,417 hitters.

The Braves have dispatched 581 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 185 runners on the season with 33.0% of them earned a run for their team. They have recorded 40 saves this year and have blown 26 of 66 chances to get a save. The Braves relievers have a save percentage of 60.6% and has stepped onto the mound in 180 save situations. The relievers have racked up 113 holds on the campaign (2nd in MLB). Braves relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 129 times in addition to having 221 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have transformed 70.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,696 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 5th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned 4,232 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,483 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which has them sitting 3rd in the majors, and have a total of 1,126 double plays.

Fried (40-18 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.55 while he has faced 1,856 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 411 hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 139 free passes. His earned run average is 3.34 (166 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.230. Fried has thrown 447 innings and has accumulated 447 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have recorded an on-base percentage of .330 as well as a team batting average of .244 on the campaign. They have struck out on 1,408 occasions (13th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,330 base knocks. Los Angeles has recorded 237 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 799 runs batted in. The Dodgers hold a team SLG% of .429 and they have an average of 5.12 runs per contest (5th in MLB). They have notched 247 doubles, while taking a walk 613 times as well as scoring 830 runs.

The Los Angeles pitching staff have given up 561 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.01 (486 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 161 dingers and they relinquish 3.48 runs per 9 innings (1st in MLB). The Dodgers hold a team WHIP of 1.097 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.54 as a squad over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 (1,599 strikeouts against 486 walks). They sit at 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,107.

Los Angeles relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 20.3% out of 231 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 201 times in high leverage situations and also on 168 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 198 save situations, the Dodgers have earned 112 holds and also 27 blown saves. They sit at 3rd in the league holding a save rate of 67.5%, and they have dispatched 600 relievers to the hill for the year. Los Angeles has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 83 save opportunities and they have come away with 56 saves.

In 13,068 innings on the field, the Dodgers have a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in pro baseball). The Los Angeles Dodgers have turned 94 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in professional baseball). The Dodgers have recorded 1,303 assists, 89 errors and have earned 4,356 putouts for the year.

Knebel (10-11 career win-loss record) has a 3.23 ERA while giving up 7.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.18 and he has gone up against 1,088 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. He has conceded a total of 94 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.218 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. So far in his pro baseball career, Knebel has given up 204 base hits and he has 366 K's in 262 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+190)

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