Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins
Date: Saturday, July 10, 2021
Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL
TV: Bally Sports Florida
Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-125) Miami (+100)
Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins (38-48, 5th in NL East) play the Atlanta Braves (42-44, 3rd in NL East) at Marlins Park on Saturday. The Braves open this matchup at -125 while the Marlins are coming in at +100. The over/under is set at 7. The pitchers taking the mound are Max Fried and Trevor Rogers.
Atlanta is slugging .424 and have been called out on strikes 803 times, while taking a walk on 317 occasions. They have tallied 389 runs batted in and 672 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is sitting at .239. The Braves have recorded 143 doubles as a squad and have hit 119 balls out of the park. They have tallied 406 runs and have an OBP of .322. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.7 runs per contest, which is 10th in the league.
Braves pitchers have allowed 102 home runs and also 390 total runs (17th in the league). They have walked 294 batters and their FIP is 4.23 as a unit on the season. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.32. The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 4.26 over the course of the season (17th in MLB), and they have rung up 766 batters.
The Braves have dispatched 313 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 121 base runners this season and 39.7% of those runners ended up scoring. They have recorded 18 saves so far this season and have missed out on 13 of their 31 save opportunities. The Braves relievers have a save percentage of 58.1% and has entered the game in 87 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 55 holds so far this year (5th in baseball). Braves bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 79 times and also have had 127 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 2,244 putouts thus far, in addition to 763 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which puts them in 5th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 608 double plays. The Braves have converted 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,732 innings, ranking them 18th in MLB.
Fried has taken the ball for 349 innings and has earned 356 punch outs so far in his career. Fried (31-16 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.75 and he has gone up against 1,480 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.74 (145 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.321. He has given up 339 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 122 walks.
The Marlins hold a slugging percentage of .372 and they are scoring 3.98 runs per contest (27th in the league). They have tallied 115 doubles, while taking a walk 258 times as well as scoring 342 runs. Miami has a total of 86 home runs so far this year to go along with 323 RBIs. They have been rung up on 836 instances (6th in MLB) and have earned a total of 665 base hits. The Miami Marlins have an on-base percentage of .302 and a batting average of .233 so far this year.
The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.190 in addition to having a FIP of 3.58 as a squad so far this season. They rank 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 639. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 322 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.40 (286 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.85 (747 strikeouts against 262 free passes). They have allowed 68 dingers and they yield 3.83 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB).
With 77 save situations, the Marlins have earned 43 holds and also 18 blown saves. Miami has had relief pitchers take the mound in 34 save chances and they have come away with 16 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 102 times in high leverage situations in addition to 59 occasions with runners on base. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.6% out of 85 inherited runners. They sit at 28th in MLB with a save percentage of 47.1%, and they have dispatched 309 relief pitchers onto the field on the campaign.
The Miami Marlins have twisted 81 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in MLB). The Marlins have racked up 763 assists, 60 errors and have amassed 2,272 putouts this year. In 6,816 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (13th in MLB).
In his MLB career, Rogers has surrendered 102 base knocks while he has accumulated 157 K's in 125 innings pitched. Rogers (8-7 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.09 earned run average while surrendering 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 43 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.173 and a FIP of 2.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.49 and he has gone up against 519 hitters during his pro baseball career.
Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+100)
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