Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 7/9/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, July 9, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-141) Miami (+110)

Marlins Park is the venue where Zach Thompson and the Miami Marlins (38-47, 5th in NL East) will play the Atlanta Braves (42-44, 3rd in NL East) on Friday. The Marlins open this contest at +110 while the Braves are coming in at -141. The O/U has been set at 7. The expected starting pitchers will be Charlie Morton and Zach Thompson.

The Braves have tallied 138 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 117 balls out of the park. Atlanta has a slugging rate of .421 and have been called out on strikes 798 times, while taking a walk on 309 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which is 12th in the league. They have 376 RBI's and 654 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average sits at .236. They have racked up 392 runs and have an OBP of .319.

The Braves hold a team ERA of 4.27 on the campaign (17th in the league), and the staff has rung up 758 batters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.61 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31. Braves pitchers have given up 101 home runs and 387 total runs (19th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 290 opposing players and their FIP is 4.22 as a squad this year.

The Braves have dispatched 309 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 119 base runners for the year and 40.3% of those runners ended up scoring. They have accumulated 18 saves so far this year and have missed out on 13 of their 31 chances to get a save. The Braves relievers have compiled a save rate of 58.1% and has come into the game in 86 save situations. The relievers have 54 holds on the season (5th in MLB). Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 78 times as well as having 127 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have turned 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 6,651 innings on the field, ranking them 17th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have earned a total of 2,217 putouts on the year, in addition to 756 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which is 5th in baseball, and they have turned 603 double plays.

Morton (100-92 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.77 while he has faced 6,587 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,476 base knocks (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 549 free passes. His ERA is 4.07 (693 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.322. Morton has pitched in 1,531 innings and has earned 1,383 punch outs during his career.

The Marlins have a team slugging percentage of .370 and they average 3.95 runs per contest (28th in the league). They have put up 114 two-baggers, while taking a walk 252 times and putting up 332 runs. Miami has recorded 81 long balls for the season as well as 313 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 813 occasions (6th in the league) and have recorded 649 base knocks. The Miami Marlins hold a team OBP of .302 and a batting average of .232 for the season.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.187 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.55 as a squad on the campaign. They are currently ranked 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 618. The Miami pitching staff have conceded 310 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 3.37 (277 earned runs allowed). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.81 (727 strikeouts against 259 bases on balls). They have allowed 64 long balls and they relinquish 3.77 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB).

Miami has called on relievers to take the mound in 33 save chances and they have recorded 16 saves. They sit at 27th in MLB with a save rate of 48.5%, and they have dispatched 304 relievers onto the field on the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 99 times in high leverage situations and also on 57 occasions with runners on base. Miami relievers have an inherited score percentage of 36.3% of 80 inherited base runners. With 76 save situations, the Marlins have 43 holds in addition to 17 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have turned 81 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in pro baseball). The Marlins have recorded 747 assists, 58 errors and have accounted for 2,218 putouts on the season. In 6,654 innings on the field, the Marlins have a defensive efficiency of 70.0% (11th in MLB).

During his career, Thompson has surrendered 17 base knocks and he has 31 punch outs in 24 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 6 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.000 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.3. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.43 and he has gone up against 97 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Thompson (2-2 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 2.25 earned run average while conceding 6.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami (+110)

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