Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 4/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Thursday, April 1, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-108) Philadelphia (-102)

Aaron Nola and the Philadelphia Phillies (28-32, 3rd in NL East last season) play the Atlanta Braves (35-25, 1st in NL East last year) at Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The Braves open this contest at -108 while the Phillies are coming in at -102. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Max Fried and Aaron Nola.

The Braves accounted for 130 doubles as a team and knocked 103 baseballs out of the stadium last season. Atlanta was slugging .483 and were called out on strikes 573 times, while being walked on 239 occasions. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves notched 5.8 runs per contest, which was 2nd in MLB. They tallied 338 runs batted in and 556 hits last year, and their team batting average came in at .268. They had 348 runs scored and held an OBP of .349.

Braves pitchers allowed 69 home runs and 288 total runs (16th in the league). Their pitching staff walked 220 batters and their FIP finished at 4.42 as a team for the prior year. They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.30 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.36. The Braves compiled a team ERA of 4.41 over the course of the prior season (15th in the league), and the staff rung up 506 batters. Braves relief pitchers stepped onto the hill with opponents on base in 65 contests as well as 59 contests with high leverage. The relief pitchers earned 31 holds for the prior year (13th in MLB). The Braves relievers accumulated a save rate of 68.4% and stepped onto the hill in 53 save situations. They accumulated 13 saves in the previous season and blew 6 of their 19 chances to save the game. The relievers inherited 101 runners in the previous season with 30.7% of those players crossed the plate. The Braves had sent 228 relievers to the mound in the prior season.

Fried had a FIP of 3.1 and an ERA+ of 216. He surrendered 14 ER's throughout last season with a K/BB ratio of 2.6. He surrendered 6.8 hits per nine innings and his WHIP was 1.089. His earned run average sat at 2.25 and he punched out 50 hitters. Max Fried gave up 42 base hits in 56 innings in which he pitched last year. Fried (26-11 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.69 and he has faced 1,189 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 272 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 98 free passes. His ERA is 3.52 (110 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.315. Fried has taken the mound for 281 innings and has tallied 289 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Philadelphia Phillies held an on-base percentage of .342 as well as a batting average of .257 over the course of the prior season. They were called out on strikes on 480 occasions (24th in MLB) and earned a total of 500 hits. Philadelphia was sitting with 82 home runs over the course of last season in addition to 289 runs batted in. The Phillies held a team SLG% of .439 and they were scoring 5.10 runs per contest (6th in the league). They notched 90 two-baggers, while getting a free base 229 times as well as scoring 306 runs.

The Phillies had a WHIP of 1.479 in addition to having a FIP of 4.43 as a pitching staff last season. They earned a K/BB ratio of 2.88 (532 strikeouts against 185 bases on balls). They finished at 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 550. They conceded 80 homers and they surrender 5.63 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff allowed 311 runs last season while holding a team ERA of 5.14 (284 earned runs given up). Philadelphia called on relievers to step onto the mound in 53 save situations and they came away with 11 saves. They ranked 29th in MLB with a save rate of 44.0%, and they sent 189 relief pitchers to the mound last year. Their relievers stepped onto the mound in 64 games with high leverage in addition to 84 games with base runners. Philadelphia relief pitchers held an inherited score rate of 31.0% out of 121 inherited runners. With 25 opportunities for a save, the Phillies had 27 holds in addition to 14 blown saves.

Nola gave up 54 hits while conceding 26 ER's (3.28 ERA). His WHIP sat at 1.08 and he earned a FIP of 3.19 last season. He pitched in 71.1 innings last season while conceding 6.8 H/9. Nola earned a K/BB ratio of 4.2 with 96 total strikeouts and he was the owner of an ERA+ of 136. In his career, Nola has allowed 723 base hits and he has 922 strikeouts in 842 innings pitched. Nola (58-40 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.47 earned run average and has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 325 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.164 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.57 and he has faced 3,466 batters during his MLB career.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (-108) and over 9 runs

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