Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/23/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Friday, July 23, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+125) Philadelphia (-156)

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies (47-47, 2nd in NL East) will take on the Atlanta Braves (46-48, 3rd in NL East) on Friday. The Phillies open this game at -156 while the Braves are priced at +125. The total opens at 7.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Max Fried and Zack Wheeler.

Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .427 and have been rung up 862 times, while taking a walk on 338 occasions. They have 425 RBI's as well as 733 hits on the year, and their team batting average sits at .240. The Braves have earned 162 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 129 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 442 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 4.8 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 11th in baseball.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Braves have compiled a team ERA of 4.21 this season (15th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 828 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.62 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31. Braves pitchers have conceded 107 home runs in addition to 416 runs in total (13th in MLB). They have walked 316 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.17 as a team so far this year.

The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 57.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 98 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 128 runners on the campaign with 37.5% of those runners crossed home plate. Braves bullpen pitchers have come into the game with players on base 84 times and also have had 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 338 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 62 holds over the course of the season (2nd in the league). They have compiled 20 saves on the season and have missed out on 15 out of their 35 chances to save the game.

The Braves have transformed 69.6% of balls in play into outs in their 7,299 innings on the diamond, ranking them 15th in baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accounted for 2,433 putouts this season, as well as 827 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which has them sitting 4th in the majors, and have accumulated 659 double plays.

Fried has pitched in 361 frames and has tallied 368 strikeouts in his MLB career. Fried (33-16 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.72 and he has faced 1,530 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.69 (148 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.319. He has allowed 352 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 124 walks.

The Phillies have a team slugging % of .401 and they are earning 4.54 runs per outing (13th in the league). They have hit 147 doubles, while walking 318 times as well as scoring 422 runs. Philadelphia has hit 107 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 403 RBIs. They have struck out on 861 instances (10th in the league) and have tallied 742 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accumulated an on-base percentage of .317 in addition to a batting average of .241 so far this year.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 432 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.39 (395 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 120 home runs and they yield 4.80 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.301 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.19 as a pitching staff on the year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.04 (856 strikeouts vs 282 bases on balls). They sit at 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 772.

Philadelphia has had relievers enter the contest in 45 save opportunities and they have tallied 22 saves. They sit at 27th in the league with a save percentage of 48.9%, and they have sent 292 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 102 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 43.4% out of their 122 inherited base runners. With 90 save situations, the Phillies have earned 41 holds and 23 blown saves.

Out of their 7,296 innings on the field, the Phillies are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (25th in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 84 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (14th in the majors). The Phillies have 826 assists, 54 errors and have earned a total of 2,432 putouts on the season.

So far in his career, Wheeler has surrendered 864 hits and he has 931 K's in 946 innings. He has conceded a total of 371 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.245 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.96 and he has faced 3,968 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Wheeler (55-45 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.53 earned run average while allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-156)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here