Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Sunday, July 25, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+130) Philadelphia (-167)

Touki Toussaint and the Atlanta Braves (47-48, 2nd in NL East) are headed to Citizens Bank Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Philadelphia Phillies (47-48, 3rd in NL East). The Phillies open this contest at -167 while the Braves are coming in at +130. The O/U has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Touki Toussaint and Aaron Nola.

The Braves have hit 164 two-baggers as a team and have hit 131 baseballs out of the stadium. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .426 and have struck out 871 times, while taking a walk on 345 occasions. As a team, the Atlanta Braves are scoring 4.8 runs per game, which puts them at 11th in the league. They have recorded 432 runs batted in and 745 hits so far this season, and their team batting average sits at .239. They have accumulated 451 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .321.

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The Braves have an earned run average of 4.18 this season (16th in the league), and their staff has rung up 845 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 324 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.14 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.61 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31. Braves pitchers have allowed 108 home runs and also 421 total runs (13th in the league).

The Braves relievers have a save rate of 57.1% and has come into the game in 98 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 131 base runners so far this season and 37.4% of them ended up scoring. Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 86 times in addition to having 138 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 344 relievers to the mound this season. The relievers have a total of 62 holds over the course of the season (5th in baseball). They have recorded 20 saves for the year and have blown 15 of their 35 save opportunities.

The Braves have converted 69.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 7,443 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 16th in pro baseball. The Atlanta Braves have notched a total of 2,481 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 843 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which has them sitting 4th in professional baseball, and have a total of 675 double plays.

Toussaint has taken the ball for 101 innings and has tallied 112 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career. Toussaint (7-3 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 5.01 while he has gone up against 467 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 5.67 (64 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.544. He has conceded 92 base knocks (8.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 65 walks.

Philadelphia has 108 HRs on the year to go along with 409 RBIs. They have put up 151 doubles, while taking a walk 333 times as well as scoring 429 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have an on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .240 this season. The Phillies hold a team slugging percentage of .399 and they have an average of 4.52 runs per contest (13th in baseball). They have struck out on 880 occasions (9th in the league) and have accounted for 753 base hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 445 runs for the season while having an ERA of 4.42 (407 earned runs yielded). They have relinquished 124 home runs and they surrender 4.83 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.304 and have a FIP of 4.23 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 (872 strikeouts against 293 free passes). They are currently ranked 17th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 788.

Philadelphia has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 45 save chances and they have earned 22 saves. They are ranked 28th in baseball holding a save rate of 48.9%, and they have sent 299 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Their relievers have taken the field 105 times in high leverage situations in addition to 84 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relievers have an inherited score percentage of 42.7% out of their 124 inherited runners. Sitting with 90 save situations, the Phillies have 41 holds and 23 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 85 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (15th in pro baseball). The Phillies have recorded 848 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 2,487 putouts so far this season. Out of their 7,461 innings played, the Phillies hold a defensive efficiency of 68.3% (24th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Nola has given up 830 hits while earning 1,053 strikeouts in 949 frames. Nola (64-46 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.60 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 380 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.171 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.73 and he has faced 3,917 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-167)

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