Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 9/24/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, September 24, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+100) San Diego (-132)

Petco Park is the venue where Pierce Johnson and the San Diego Padres (76-75, 3rd in NL West) will play the Atlanta Braves (80-70, 1st in NL East) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Braves priced at +100 and the Padres are at -132. The O/U opens at 8. The starting pitchers are Max Fried and Pierce Johnson.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, which puts them at 8th in the league. They have tallied 735 runs and have an OBP of .319. The Braves have tallied 248 doubles as a team and have hit 227 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 707 RBI's in addition to 1,219 base knocks on the year, while their team batting average sits at .244. Atlanta has a slugging % of .437 and have struck out 1,347 times, while being walked on 514 occasions.

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The Braves hold a team ERA of 3.92 so far this season (11th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 1,331 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 485 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.10 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.74 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25. Braves pitchers have conceded 173 home runs and 618 runs in total (6th in baseball).

Braves pitchers have entered the game with runners on 121 times in addition to having 208 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have accumulated 106 holds on the season (1st in the league). The Braves bullpen have earned a save rate of 59.3% and has entered the game in 166 save situations. They have earned 35 saves for the season and have missed out on 24 of their 59 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 176 base runners over the course of the season with 33.0% of them ended up scoring. The Braves have sent 541 relief pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Atlanta Braves have a total of 3,941 putouts for the season, as well as 1,378 assists and 67 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which has them ranked 3rd in MLB, and they have twisted 1,058 double plays. The Braves have converted 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,823 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 6th in pro baseball.

Fried has taken the ball for 431 innings and has tallied 437 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.45 (165 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.260. He has given up 404 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 139 walks. Fried (38-18 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.61 while he has gone up against 1,802 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The San Diego Padres hold a team on-base percentage of .322 in addition to a team batting average of .243 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,234 occasions (25th in the league) and have tallied 1,219 hits. San Diego has tallied 169 home runs on the season as well as 652 runs batted in. The Padres have a team SLG% of .401 and they average 4.54 runs per game (14th in baseball). They have 250 two-baggers, while taking a walk 551 times and scoring 685 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.241 and have a FIP of 4.09 as a staff for the season. They rank 12th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,186. The San Diego pitching staff have given up 642 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.97 (589 earned runs allowed). Their K/BB ratio is 3.01 (1,419 strikeouts vs 471 walks). They have yielded 185 homers and they concede 4.33 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 63 save opportunities and they have recorded 41 saves. They rank 8th in MLB with a save rate of 65.1%, and they have dispatched 577 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 136 times in high leverage situations and also on 110 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.0% out of their 159 inherited base runners. Sitting with 151 save situations, the Padres have recorded 86 holds in addition to 22 blown saves.

Out of their 12,015 innings on the field, the Padres hold a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in pro baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 134 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (9th in pro baseball). The Padres have recorded 1,323 assists, 77 errors and have notched a total of 4,005 putouts on the campaign.

In his career, Johnson has allowed 99 base knocks while totaling 138 strikeouts in 119 innings pitched. Johnson (9-6 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.92 earned run average while giving up 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 52 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.299 and having a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.46 and he has gone up against 499 batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+100)

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