Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 8/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Atlanta Braves vs St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Wednesday, August 4, 2021
Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-105) St. Louis (-116)
Drew Smyly and the Atlanta Braves (52-54, 3rd in NL East) go to Busch Stadium on Wednesday where they'll take on the St. Louis Cardinals (53-52, 3rd in NL Central). The Cardinals open this contest at -116 while the Braves are priced at -105. The O/U has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Drew Smyly and J.A. Happ.
As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are notching 4.8 runs per contest, which is 10th in MLB. They are sitting with 503 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. The Braves have compiled 180 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 148 baseballs out of the park. They have recorded 484 RBI's in addition to 846 base knocks on the season, while their team batting average comes in at .242. Atlanta is slugging .428 and have struck out 976 times, while taking a walk on 372 occasions.
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The Braves have a team ERA of 4.08 so far this year (13th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 932 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.65 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Braves pitchers have yielded 119 home runs and also 454 total runs (13th in the league). They have walked 352 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.10 as a team for the season.
The Braves relievers have recorded a save rate of 59.5% and has entered the game in 104 save situations. The relievers have inherited 134 base runners for the year with 36.6% of those runners crossed home plate. Braves relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 88 times as well as having 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 376 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen have tallied 66 holds over the course of the season (4th in MLB). They have earned 22 saves over the course of the season and have blown 15 of 37 save chances.
The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 2,754 putouts for the season, as well as 940 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which is 4th in the majors, and have accumulated 758 double plays. The Braves have converted 69.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 8,262 innings on the diamond, ranking them 18th in professional baseball.
Smyly has taken the mound for 802 frames and has accounted for 797 K's during his career. Smyly (42-38 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.25 while facing 3,373 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.16 (371 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.273. He has given up 763 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has had 259 free passes.
St. Louis has recorded 115 home runs for the year to go along with 403 RBIs. They have notched 163 two-baggers, while taking a walk 311 times and notching 422 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have accumulated an on-base percentage of .305 in addition to a team batting average of .234 on the season. The Cardinals hold a slugging percentage of .388 and they average 4.02 runs per contest (26th in baseball). They have been rung up on 860 instances (25th in MLB) and have totaled 808 hits.
The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.357 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.39 as a team over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 1.84 (812 strikeouts against 442 free passes). They are currently ranked 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 798. They have conceded 93 homers and they surrender 4.52 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The St. Louis pitching staff have relinquished 459 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.19 (426 earned runs surrendered).
Sitting with 95 save situations, the Cardinals have earned 54 holds and also 10 blown saves. St. Louis has called on relievers to enter the game in 39 save opportunities and they have tallied 29 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 102 times in high leverage situations and on 117 occasions with base runners. St. Louis relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 38.5% out of their 200 inherited base runners. They are ranked 2nd in the league with a save percentage of 74.4%, and they have sent 361 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond over the course of the season.
The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 80 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (15th in baseball). The Cardinals have 948 assists, 59 errors and are sitting with 2,743 putouts during this campaign. In 8,229 innings on the field, the Cardinals have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (5th in professional baseball).
In his pro baseball career, Happ has surrendered 1,770 base knocks while earning 1,616 K's in 1,839 frames. He has surrendered a total of 844 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.316 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.48 and he has faced 7,822 hitters during his MLB career. Happ (128-98 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.13 ERA and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Louis (-116)
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