Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 5/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: TD Ballpark in Dunedin, FL

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+118) Toronto (-128)

Charlie Morton and the Atlanta Braves (12-13, 1st in NL East) head to TD Ballpark on Saturday where they'll take on the Toronto Blue Jays (11-12, 3rd in AL East). The odds on this matchup have the Braves coming in at +118 and the Blue Jays are at -128. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Trent Thornton.

Atlanta is slugging .432 and have been called out on strikes 217 times, while taking a walk on 95 occasions. They have amassed 112 runs batted in and 187 base knocks for the year, while their batting average sits at .233. The Braves have accumulated 42 doubles as a squad and have hit 37 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 117 runs while having a team OBP of .325. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 4.7 runs per game, which has them sitting at 8th in baseball.

The Braves hold a team ERA of 4.66 so far this season (25th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 237 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 91 batters and their FIP sits at 4.35 as a team on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.36. Braves pitchers have yielded 33 long balls in addition to 119 runs in total (23rd in the league).

The Braves relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 66.7% and has come into the game in 28 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 31 base runners on the year and 22.6% of them crossed home plate. Braves relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 19 times in addition to having 41 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have dispatched 88 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have a total of 18 holds over the course of the season (4th in MLB). They have recorded 6 saves this year and have not converted 3 out of their 9 save opportunities.

The Braves have converted 69.1% of balls in play into outs out of 1,932 innings, which has them sitting at 22nd in professional baseball. The Atlanta Braves have accumulated 644 putouts on the year, in addition to 217 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which is 4th in baseball, and they have turned 178 double plays.

Morton has thrown 1,467 innings and has tallied 1,309 strikeouts during his career. His earned run average is 4.10 (668 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.331. He has surrendered 1,426 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 528 free passes. Morton (95-90 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.78 and he has gone up against 6,318 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Toronto has tallied 29 HRs on the campaign to go along with 87 RBIs. They have 23 doubles, while getting a free base 69 times and putting up 94 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded a team OBP of .298 and a team batting average of .226 so far this season. The Blue Jays have a SLG% of .375 and they average 4.09 runs per contest (18th in the league). They have struck out on 202 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have tallied 171 base knocks.

The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 85 runs so far this season while having an ERA of 3.36 (74 earned runs yielded). They have conceded 28 home runs and they give up 3.86 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Blue Jays have a team WHIP of 1.196 in addition to having a FIP of 4.10 as a staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.03 (194 strikeouts against 64 free passes). They have a ranking of 7th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 173.

Sitting with 24 save situations, the Blue Jays have earned 15 holds in addition to 1 blown save. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 7 save opportunities and they have converted 6 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 34 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with runners on. Toronto relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.9% of 38 inherited runners. They rank 3rd in MLB holding a save percentage of 85.7%, and they have sent 84 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Toronto Blue Jays have twisted 24 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (23rd in baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 219 assists, 15 errors and have earned a total of 596 putouts so far this year. In their 1,788 innings on the field, the Blue Jays have a efficiency on defense of 70.7% (11th in baseball).

Thus far in his career, Thornton has allowed 182 hits while he has earned 163 punch outs in 172 innings. Thornton (6-9 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.92 earned run average and has conceded 9.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 94 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.448 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.43 and he has faced 758 hitters during his MLB career.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (+118) and over 9.5 runs

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here