Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, April 3, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+140) Boston (-213)

Tanner Houck and the Boston Red Sox (24-36, 5th in AL East last season) host the Baltimore Orioles (25-35, 4th in AL East last year) at Fenway Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Orioles coming in at +140 and the Red Sox are at -213. The O/U is set at 10. The men taking the mound will be Matt Harvey and Tanner Houck.

Baltimore was slugging .429 and struck out 514 times last season, while being walked on 164 occasions. They accrued 264 runs batted in in addition to 523 hits over the course of last season, while their batting average was at .258. The Orioles earned 102 doubles as a squad and hit 77 baseballs out of the park. They accounted for 274 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .321. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles knocked in 4.6 runs per outing, which had them at 16th in baseball.

The Orioles compiled a team earned run average of 4.52 during the previous year (16th in MLB), and their staff struck out 487 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.54 and their pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.31. Orioles pitchers conceded 79 home runs and also 294 total runs (15th in the league). Their pitching staff walked 192 opposing batters and their FIP finished at 4.60 as a unit in the previous season. The Orioles relievers earned a save rate of 61.1% and stepped onto the hill in 50 save situations. The bullpen inherited 139 runners for the previous season with 30.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. Orioles pitchers went to the mound with runners on in 85 games in addition to 69 contests with high leverage. The Orioles had sent 207 relievers to the hill in the previous season. The relief pitchers a total of 32 holds for the previous season (11th in baseball). They accumulated 11 saves over the course of last season and did not convert 7 of their 18 chances to get a save.

Harvey held a FIP of 9.45 and an ERA+ of 41. Matt Harvey allowed 27 hits in 11.2 innings he pitched last season. He surrendered 15 ER's last year and had a K/BB ratio of 2.0. He gave up 20.8 hits per nine innings and he held a WHIP of 2.743. His earned run average was at 11.57 and he struck out 10 opposing batters. Harvey has thrown 838 innings and has earned 772 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.14 (386 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.247. He has allowed 809 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has 237 free passes. Harvey (44-52 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.86 and he has gone up against 3,517 opposing batters in the major leagues.

Boston recorded 81 home runs last year and 278 RBIs. They hit 118 doubles, while walking 187 times as well as putting up 292 runs. The Boston Red Sox accounted for a team on-base percentage of .330 in addition to a team batting average of .265 over the course of the prior season. The Red Sox held a team SLG% of .445 and they had an average of 4.87 runs per outing (11th in the league). They struck out on 545 occasions (8th in MLB) and earned a total of 552 base hits.

The Red Sox finished with a team WHIP of 1.601 and had a FIP of 5.19 as a squad over the course of last year. They were sitting at 1st in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 587. The Boston pitching staff conceded 351 runs in the prior season while having an ERA of 5.58 (325 earned runs conceded). They had a K/BB ratio of 2.13 (537 strikeouts vs 252 free passes). They allowed 98 dingers and they relinquished 6.03 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). Boston had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 69 save situations and they came away with 14 saves. They were ranked 27th in baseball with a save rate of 51.9%, and they dispatched 232 bullpen pitchers to the hill last season. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the hill in 60 games with high leverage and also 55 contests with base runners. Boston bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 29.0% of 96 inherited runners. Ending the season with 27 chances for a save, the Red Sox accrued 40 holds and 13 blown saves.

Houck gave up 6 hits while surrendering 1 earned run (0.53 ERA). His WHIP sat at 0.88 and he earned a FIP of 3.25 last season. He pitched in 17 innings last year while allowing 3.2 hits per 9 innings. Houck earned a K/BB ratio of 2.3 with 21 total K's and he held an ERA+ of 903. 

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+140)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here