Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/4/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, April 4, 2021

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Boston (-185)

Fenway Park is the venue where Garrett Richards and the Boston Red Sox (24-36, 5th in AL East last year) will play the Baltimore Orioles (25-35, 4th in AL East last season) on Sunday. The Orioles open this game at +125 while the Red Sox are priced at -185. The total is set at 10. The pitchers taking the mound will be Bruce Zimmermann and Garrett Richards.

Baltimore owned a slugging percentage of .429 last year and were called out on strikes 514 times, while getting the free base on 164 occasions. They accumulated 264 runs batted in and 523 hits last season, while their batting average was .258. The Orioles tallied 102 doubles as a squad and hit 77 baseballs out of the park. They tallied 274 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .321. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles put up 4.6 runs per game, which had them at 16th in MLB.

The Orioles had an earned run average of 4.52 in the previous season (16th in MLB), and their staff rung up 487 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 192 opposing players and their FIP finished at 4.60 as a unit last year. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.54 and the pitching staff had a collective WHIP of 1.31. Orioles pitchers surrendered 79 home runs in addition to 294 runs (15th in the league). Orioles bullpen pitchers went to the mound with runners on base in 85 contests and also 69 contests with high leverage. The relievers had a total of 32 holds during the previous year (11th in baseball). The Orioles bullpen recorded a save percentage of 61.1% and stepped onto the hill in 50 save situations. They tallied 11 saves over the course of last season and blew 7 of 18 save chances. The relief pitchers inherited 139 base runners over the course of the prior season with 30.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Orioles sent 207 relievers to the hill for the prior year.

Bruce Zimmermann allowed 6 base knocks in 7 innings throughout last year. His earned run average was at 7.71 and he punched out 7 opposing batters. He gave up 6 earned runs last season and had a K/BB ratio of 3.5. He gave up 7.7 H/9 and his WHIP was 1.143. Zimmermann was the owner of a FIP of 6.62 and his ERA+ was 61. 

Boston had 81 home runs last year in addition to 278 runs batted in. They tallied 118 doubles, while getting a free base 187 times as well as putting up 292 runs. The Boston Red Sox accounted for a team on-base percentage of .330 and a team batting average of .265 during the previous year. The Red Sox held a team SLG% of .445 and they scored 4.87 runs per contest (11th in the league). They struck out on 545 occasions (8th in baseball) and were sitting with 552 hits.

The Boston pitching staff allowed 351 runs in the prior season while holding a team ERA of 5.58 (325 earned runs allowed). They surrendered 98 homers and they conceded 6.03 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB). The Red Sox had a WHIP of 1.601 in addition to having a FIP of 5.19 as a staff for the prior year. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.13 (537 strikeouts against 252 walks). They finished at 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 587. Boston relief pitchers held an inherited score rate of 29.0% out of 96 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers came into 60 games with high leverage and also 55 games with runners on base. Wrapping up the year with 27 save opportunities, the Red Sox compiled 40 holds and 13 blown saves. They ranked 27th in the league holding a save rate of 51.9%, and they dispatched 232 relievers onto the field last season. Boston called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 69 save situations and they tallied 14 saves.

Richards had a K/BB ratio of 2.7 with 46 total punch outs and he was the owner of an ERA+ of 103. His WHIP was 1.25 and he earned a FIP of 4.28 last year. He took the hill for 51.1 innings last season while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. Richards allowed 47 total base hits while surrendering 23 earned runs (4.03 ERA). So far in his pro baseball career, Richards has conceded 719 hits while totaling 702 strikeouts in 804 innings pitched. Richards (47-41 record in his career) holds a 3.62 earned run average while giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 324 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.255 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.41 and he has gone up against 3,377 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+125)

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