Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 7/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Saturday, July 17, 2021

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+115) Kansas City (-147)

Kauffman Stadium is the site where Brad Keller and the Kansas City Royals (36-53, 5th in AL Central) will take on the Baltimore Orioles (28-61, 5th in AL East) on Saturday. The Orioles open this game at +115 while the Royals are coming in at -147. The over/under has been set at 10.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Matt Harvey and Brad Keller.

The Orioles have tallied 145 doubles as a team and have hit 101 balls out of the stadium. Baltimore has a slugging % of .393 and have been rung up 791 times, while drawing a walk on 256 occasions. As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.1 runs per game, which puts them at 24th in baseball. They have compiled 352 runs batted in and 704 hits on the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .237. They have a total of 364 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .302.

The Orioles have a team earned run average of 5.60 this season (30th in the league), and their staff has rung up 746 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.34 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.48. Orioles pitchers have relinquished 136 home runs and 502 runs in total (29th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 319 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.90 as a unit on the season.

The Orioles have dispatched 302 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 188 base runners on the year and 38.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 15 saves over the course of the season and have blown 14 of their 29 save opportunities. The Orioles relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 51.7% and stepped onto the hill in 65 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 35 holds this year (26th in the league). Orioles pitchers have entered the game with runners on 120 times and also have had 95 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for 2,306 putouts this season, as well as 726 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them ranked 5th in the majors, and they have turned 607 double plays. The Orioles have converted 67.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,918 innings, which has them ranked 28th in the majors.

Harvey (47-62 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.93 while going up against 3,883 hitters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 917 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) and has 263 walks. His ERA is 4.44 (451 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.290. Harvey has taken the ball for 914 innings and is sitting with 833 K's so far in his pro baseball career.

The Royals have a team slugging % of .388 and they tally 4.09 runs per contest (25th in the league). They have put up 128 doubles, while getting a free base 243 times and notching 364 runs. Kansas City has knocked in 90 long balls this season as well as 344 RBIs. They have struck out on 724 instances (28th in the league) and have recorded 716 hits. The Kansas City Royals have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .304 and a batting average of .243 for the season.

The Royals have a team WHIP of 1.477 in addition to having a FIP of 4.64 as a unit this season. They are sitting at 25th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 780. The Kansas City pitching staff have surrendered 463 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 5.15 (439 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.18 (771 strikeouts vs 353 walks). They have given up 116 long balls and they concede 5.43 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball).

With 75 save situations, the Royals have amassed 42 holds in addition to 15 blown saves. Kansas City has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 33 save chances and they have tallied 18 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 78 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with runners on. Kansas City bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.5% of 130 inherited base runners. They sit at 25th in baseball holding a save percentage of 54.5%, and they have sent 298 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season.

The Kansas City Royals have twisted 84 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (18th in the majors). The Royals have accrued 762 assists, 52 errors and have accumulated 2,301 putouts for the year. In 6,903 innings played, the Royals have a efficiency on defense of 67.1% (29th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Keller has surrendered 445 hits while he has earned 336 strikeouts in 455 innings. He has allowed 203 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.384 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.82 and he has gone up against 1,954 batters during his MLB career. Keller (27-32 win-loss record in his career) holds a 4.01 earned run average while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Baltimore (+115)

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