Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/20/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Miami Marlins

Date: Tuesday, April 20, 2021

Location: Marlins Park in Miami, FL

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+125) Miami (-135)

Matt Harvey and the Baltimore Orioles (7-9, 3rd in AL East) go to Marlins Park on Tuesday where they'll meet the Miami Marlins (7-8, 3rd in NL East). The Orioles open this contest at +125 while the Marlins are coming in at -135. The O/U opens at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Matt Harvey and Nick Neidert.

As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles are compiling 4.0 runs per game, which has them sitting at 21st in the league. They have tallied 64 runs scored while having a team OBP of .278. The Orioles have accrued 27 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 15 balls out of the stadium. They have 61 RBI's as well as 117 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate sits at .221. Baltimore is slugging .365 and have been called out on strikes 165 times, while being walked on 41 occasions.

The Orioles have a team earned run average of 4.17 this year (17th in the league), and their staff has struck out 136 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 47 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.48 as a team this season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.89 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Orioles pitchers have conceded 23 home runs and also 69 total runs (19th in baseball).

The Orioles have sent 55 relievers to the mound this year. The relievers have inherited 35 base runners this season and 31.4% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 4 saves this year and have blown 4 of 8 save opportunities. The Orioles bullpen have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and stepped onto the hill in 15 save situations. The relievers have 7 holds this year (14th in MLB). Orioles bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 24 times in addition to having 23 appearances in high leverage situations.

Harvey has taken the ball for 853 frames and has earned 784 K's in his career. His ERA is 4.16 (394 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.249. He has surrendered 825 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) and has 240 walks. Harvey (44-53 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.87 while going up against 3,581 opposing batters during his time in the majors.

Miami has knocked in 11 home runs so far this season and 63 RBIs. They have 31 doubles, while walking 51 times and racking up 66 runs. The Miami Marlins have tallied a team on-base percentage of .317 and a batting average of .239 for the year. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .375 and they have an average of 4.40 runs per contest (12th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 145 occasions (14th in baseball) and have recorded 123 base hits.

The Miami pitching staff have relinquished 63 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.70 (56 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 18 home runs and they allow 4.16 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.153 with a FIP of 4.15 as a staff over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 (144 strikeouts against 54 walks). They sit at 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 103.

Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.3% of 17 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 26 times in high leverage situations and on 12 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 16 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 6 holds and also 7 blown saves. They sit at 29th in baseball holding a save percentage of 30.0%, and they have dispatched 62 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Miami has had relievers enter the contest in 10 save opportunities and they have tallied 3 saves.

During his MLB career, Neidert has given up 18 base knocks while he has tallied 10 punch outs in 17 frames. Neidert (0-0 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.67 earned run average while giving up 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 9 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.673 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.91 and he has gone up against 74 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (-135)

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