Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/5/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees

Date: Monday, April 5, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+190) New York (-303)

Jordan Montgomery and the New York Yankees (1-1, 3rd in AL East) host the Baltimore Orioles (2-0, 1st in AL East) at Yankee Stadium on Monday. The Orioles open this game at +190 while the Yankees are priced at -303. The over/under opens at 9. The starting pitchers are Jorge Lopez and Jordan Montgomery.

The Orioles accumulated 102 two-baggers as a team last season and hit 77 balls out of the park. Baltimore owned a slugging percentage of .429 and were rung up 514 times, while getting the free base on 164 occasions. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles scored 4.6 runs per contest, which had them sitting at 16th in the league. They compiled 264 runs batted in and 523 hits for the previous season, while their average at the plate was at .258. They had a total of 274 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .321.

The Orioles compiled a team ERA of 4.52 over the course of the prior season (16th in baseball), and they rung up 487 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 192 opposing players and their FIP was 4.60 as a team over the course of the prior season. They accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.54 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.31. Orioles pitchers allowed 79 home runs and 294 runs in total (15th in the league). The Orioles had sent 207 relief pitchers to the hill for the previous season. The relief pitchers inherited 139 runners for the prior year with 30.9% of them earned a run for their team. They had 11 saves for the previous season and blew 7 of 18 chances to get a save. The Orioles relievers earned a save percentage of 61.1% and stepped onto the mound in 50 save situations. The relievers a total of 32 holds last season (11th in MLB). Orioles bullpen pitchers went to the mound with runners on in 85 contests and also 69 contests with high leverage.

Jorge Lopez allowed 43 hits in 38.1 innings he pitched last year. His ERA was 6.34 and he fanned 28 hitters. He conceded 27 earned runs last season with a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.3. He conceded 10.1 H/9 (hits per 9 innings) and his WHIP was at 1.435. Lopez held a FIP of 5.28 and he earned an ERA+ of 72. Lopez has taken the ball for 228 innings and has tallied 185 punch outs thus far in his career. His ERA is 6.03 (153 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.502. He has allowed 261 base knocks (10.3 hits per nine innings) with 82 free passes. Lopez (9-17 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 5.12 and he has faced 1,012 batters in the majors.

New York had 94 long balls for the prior year and 301 RBIs. They hit 87 doubles, while taking a walk 251 times as well as putting up 315 runs. The New York Yankees had a team OBP of .342 in addition to a batting average of .247 over the course of last season. The Yankees had a team slugging % of .447 and they scored 5.25 runs per game (4th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 480 instances (23rd in MLB) and tallied 473 hits.

The New York pitching staff yielded 270 runs last season while having an ERA of 4.35 (242 earned runs relinquished). They allowed 83 home runs and they conceded 4.86 runs per 9 innings (14th in baseball). The Yankees finished with a team WHIP of 1.246 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.39 as a pitching staff in the prior season. Their K/BB ratio came in at 3.14 (528 strikeouts against 168 walks). They finished at 21st in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 455. Finishing with 24 opportunities for a save, the Yankees recorded 16 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. New York called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 42 save situations and they earned 14 saves. Their relievers stepped onto the mound in 50 games with high leverage and also 54 contests with base runners. New York relievers had an inherited score rate of 33.0% of 87 inherited base runners. They were ranked 18th in baseball with a save percentage of 58.3%, and they dispatched 175 bullpen pitchers to the mound last year.

Montgomery had a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.2 with 47 total K's and he was the owner of an ERA+ of 83. His WHIP sat at 1.30 and he was the owner of a FIP of 3.87 last year. He threw 44.0 innings last year while allowing 9.8 H/9 (hits per 9 innings). Montgomery gave up 48 total base hits while he conceded 25 earned runs (5.11 ERA). Montgomery (13-10 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.14 earned run average and has conceded 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and he has faced 977 batters during his career. He has given up a total of 106 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.266 and a FIP of 4.1. So far in his MLB career, Montgomery has allowed 220 base knocks while he has tallied 219 strikeouts in 230 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (+190)

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