Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/22/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, September 22, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+210) Philadelphia (-286)

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Zack Wheeler and the Philadelphia Phillies (76-74, 2nd in NL East) will play the Baltimore Orioles (48-102, 5th in AL East) on Wednesday. The Phillies open this contest at -286 while the Orioles are priced at +210. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Keegan Akin and Zack Wheeler.

Baltimore owns a slugging percentage of .405 and have struck out 1,341 times, while drawing a walk on 419 occasions. They have 594 runs batted in and 1,208 base knocks on the season, and their team batting average is at .240. The Orioles have hit 249 doubles as a squad and have hit 184 baseballs out of the park. They have earned a total of 620 runs scored and hold an OBP of .304. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, which has them at 26th in MLB.

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The Orioles are sitting with a team ERA of 5.91 for the year (30th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 1,156 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 533 opposing hitters and their FIP is 5.14 as a unit this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.17 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.49. Orioles pitchers have surrendered 237 long balls in addition to 894 total runs (30th in MLB).

The Orioles relievers have a save percentage of 48.9% and has come into the game in 103 save situations. The relievers have inherited 310 runners this season and 40.0% of them crossed home plate. Orioles pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 194 times as well as having 141 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 518 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have a total of 55 holds on the campaign (30th in baseball). They have recorded 23 saves for the season and have blown 24 of 47 chances to get a save.

The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with 3,892 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,238 assists and 72 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which has them sitting 7th in pro baseball, and they have twisted 1,016 double plays. The Orioles have converted 68.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,676 innings on the diamond, ranking them 28th in professional baseball.

Akin has thrown 115 frames and is sitting with 111 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 6.40 (82 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.569. He has given up 132 hits (10.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 49 walks. Akin (3-12 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.85 while facing 522 batters during his time in the majors.

The Phillies hold a slugging % of .410 and they average 4.59 runs per contest (12th in baseball). They have 245 two-baggers, while walking 528 times and racking up 688 runs. Philadelphia has accounted for 183 long balls on the season to go along with 656 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,288 occasions (19th in the league) and have a total of 1,199 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for a team OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .241 over the course of the season.

The Phillies have a team WHIP of 1.297 and have a FIP of 4.18 as a team over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.97 (1,373 strikeouts against 463 free passes). They rank 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,241. They have given up 192 long balls and they surrender 4.79 runs per 9 innings (19th in MLB). The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 700 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 4.45 (650 earned runs surrendered).

With 140 save situations, the Phillies have 68 holds and also 32 blown saves. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 66 save chances and they have walked away with 34 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 154 times in high leverage situations and on 137 occasions with base runners. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 41.6% out of their 214 inherited runners. They are ranked 27th in the league with a save percentage of 51.5%, and they have dispatched 488 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 127 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (20th in the majors). The Phillies have racked up 1,335 assists, 88 errors and have accumulated 3,944 putouts this year. Out of their 11,832 innings on the field, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (25th in professional baseball).

During his MLB career, Wheeler has given up 928 base hits while he has totaled 1,010 strikeouts in 1,020 innings. He has allowed 400 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.232 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.07 and he has faced 4,271 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. Wheeler (62-49 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.53 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+210)

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