Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 7/21/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (+140) Tampa Bay (-175)

Tropicana Field is the site where Michael Wacha and the Tampa Bay Rays (55-39, 2nd in AL East) will play the Baltimore Orioles (31-62, 5th in AL East) on Wednesday. The Rays open this game at -175 while the Orioles are priced at +140. The over/under has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Keegan Akin and Michael Wacha.

Baltimore has a slugging % of .390 and have been called out on strikes 827 times, while drawing a walk on 267 occasions. They have recorded 373 RBI's in addition to 738 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate sits at .237. The Orioles have accrued 153 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 102 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 385 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .303. As a team, the Baltimore Orioles are notching 4.1 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 22nd in baseball.

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The Orioles have an earned run average of 5.51 this season (30th in MLB), and they have rung up 776 batters. They have walked 330 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.81 as a team on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.35 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.48. Orioles pitchers have yielded 136 home runs and 516 total runs (29th in baseball).

The Orioles relievers have earned a save percentage of 51.7% and stepped onto the hill in 66 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 192 base runners this year with 37.5% of them crossed the plate. Orioles bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 123 times and also have had 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The Orioles have sent 315 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have notched 36 holds so far this season (28th in MLB). They have earned 15 saves for the year and have blown 14 of 29 save chances.

The Orioles have converted 67.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 7,233 innings, ranking them 28th in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have amassed 2,411 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 760 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which puts them in 4th in the majors, and have 634 double plays.

Akin (1-7 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.35 while he has gone up against 341 hitters in the major leagues. He has given up 94 base hits (11.4 hits per nine innings) and has 30 free passes. His ERA is 6.93 (57 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.676. Akin has pitched in 74 innings and has racked up 81 strikeouts during his career.

The Rays hold a team slugging percentage of .394 and they average 4.84 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have put up 164 doubles, while walking 356 times and putting up 455 runs. Tampa Bay has accounted for 113 long balls for the season as well as 432 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 959 instances (1st in the league) and have a total of 729 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for an on-base percentage of .315 and a batting average of .230 so far this season.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.148 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.74 as a squad so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 3.40 (884 strikeouts vs 260 walks). They come in at 12th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 711. They have relinquished 106 homers and they allow 4.05 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 381 runs on the campaign while having a team ERA of 3.62 (340 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 94 save situations, the Rays have earned 55 holds in addition to 11 blown saves. Tampa Bay has called on relief pitchers to enter the game in 37 save chances and they have tallied 26 saves. Their relievers have come in 118 times in high leverage situations and on 78 occasions with base runners. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.6% out of 95 inherited base runners. They are ranked 4th in baseball holding a save rate of 70.3%, and they have sent 302 bullpen pitchers to the hill this season.

Out of their 7,614 innings played, the Rays have a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (6th in baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 77 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (5th in professional baseball). The Rays have racked up 831 assists, 46 errors and have accounted for 2,538 putouts this season.

Wacha (62-45 career mark) has a 4.08 ERA while allowing 9.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.61 and he has gone up against 4,109 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 437 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.335 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. During his MLB career, Wacha has surrendered 960 hits while tallying 851 K's in 963 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+140)

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