Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/22/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros
Date: Friday, October 22, 2021
Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX
Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+114) Houston (-141)
Nathan Eovaldi and the Boston Red Sox (92-70, 2nd in AL East) travel to Minute Maid Park on Friday where they'll take on the Houston Astros (95-67, 1st in AL West) in Game 6 of the ALCS. In the last game, Houston was able to get the win by a score of 9-1. The Red Sox open this game at +114 while the Astros are coming in at -141. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Nathan Eovaldi and Luis Garcia.
Boston has a slugging percentage of .449 and have struck out 1,386 times, while drawing a walk on 512 occasions. They have compiled 783 runs batted in and 1,434 hits so far this season, while their team batting average is .261. The Red Sox have tallied 330 doubles as a unit and have hit 219 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 829 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .328. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are notching 5.1 runs per game, which is 4th in MLB.
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Red Sox pitchers have conceded 176 home runs in addition to 749 runs in total (18th in MLB). They have walked 546 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.80 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38. The Red Sox hold a team earned run average of 4.26 on the season (15th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,527 hitters.
The Red Sox have dispatched 563 relievers to the hill for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 277 base runners for the year with 30.7% of those runners ended up scoring. They have accumulated 49 saves on the year and have blown 27 of their 76 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save percentage of 64.5% and has stepped onto the mound in 176 save situations. The relievers are sitting with 95 holds over the course of the season (7th in baseball). Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 177 times in addition to having 198 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Boston Red Sox have notched a total of 4,257 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,421 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding rate is at .981 which has them ranked 29th in the majors, and have earned 1,104 double plays. The Red Sox have converted 65.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,771 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 30th in baseball.
Eovaldi (61-65 career mark) has earned a FIP of 3.78 while he has gone up against 4,895 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 1,192 base knocks (9.3 hits per 9 innings) and has had 336 free passes. His ERA is 4.19 (534 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.331. Eovaldi has pitched in 1,148 frames and has 957 punch outs during his career.
The Astros have a SLG% of .444 and they average 5.33 runs per game (1st in baseball). They have put up 299 doubles, while walking 569 times and putting up 863 runs. Houston has accumulated 221 long balls on the season as well as 834 RBIs. They have struck out on 1,222 occasions (29th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,496 hits. The Houston Astros have recorded an OBP of .339 and a batting average of .267 so far this season.
The Houston pitching staff have conceded 658 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.76 (604 earned runs given up). They have yielded 187 homers and they surrender 4.10 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The Astros have a WHIP of 1.230 in addition to having a FIP of 4.12 as a staff this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.65 (1,456 strikeouts against 549 free passes). They are sitting at 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,229.
Houston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 36.1% out of 202 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 166 times in high leverage situations and on 137 occasions with base runners. With 131 save situations, the Astros have recorded 69 holds and 27 blown saves. They are currently ranked 24th in baseball with a save rate of 55.7%, and they have sent 512 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Houston has called on relievers to enter the contest in 61 save chances and they have earned 34 saves.
In 13,005 innings played, the Astros are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (3rd in the majors). The Houston Astros have turned 126 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .988 (1st in pro baseball). The Astros have 1,432 assists, 71 errors and have notched a total of 4,335 putouts on the campaign.
Garcia (11-9 win-loss record in his career) holds a 3.27 ERA and has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.20 and he has faced 682 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered a total of 61 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.157 and a FIP of 3.7. In his MLB career, Garcia has surrendered 139 base hits while he has tallied 176 K's in 167 innings.
So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Houston (-141) and under 8.5 runs
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