Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction, 10/23/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, October 23, 2021

Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) Houston (-140)

Jose Urquidy and the Houston Astros (95-67, 1st in AL West) host the Boston Red Sox (92-70, 2nd in AL East) at Minute Maid Park on Saturday in Game 7 of the ALCS. The Red Sox open this matchup at +110 while the Astros are priced at -140. The total has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Eduardo Rodriguez and Jose Urquidy.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 5.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 4th in the league. They have earned 829 runs and have an on-base percentage of .328. The Red Sox have hit 330 doubles as a squad and have hit 219 baseballs out of the stadium. They have 783 RBI's and 1,434 hits on the year, and their team batting average is .261. Boston owns a slugging percentage of .449 and have been called out on strikes 1,386 times, while drawing a walk on 512 occasions.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.26 this year (15th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,527 hitters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.80 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.38. Red Sox pitchers have conceded 176 home runs and also 749 total runs (18th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 546 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a squad for the season.

The Red Sox bullpen have a save percentage of 64.5% and has entered the game in 176 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 277 base runners so far this year and 30.7% of them crossed home plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 177 times in addition to having 198 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 563 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have racked up 95 holds this season (7th in the league). They have accumulated 49 saves on the season and have blown 27 out of their 76 save chances.

The Red Sox have turned 65.9% of balls in play into outs out of 12,771 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 30th in the majors. The Boston Red Sox have accumulated 4,257 putouts so far this season, as well as 1,421 assists and 108 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .981 which has them sitting 29th in MLB, and have accumulated 1,104 double plays.

Rodriguez (64-39 career record) holds a FIP of 3.83 while he has faced 3,649 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 831 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 294 walks. His earned run average is 4.16 (396 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.313. Rodriguez has taken the mound for 856 innings and is sitting with 892 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Houston has tallied 221 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 834 runs batted in. They have hit 299 two-baggers, while walking 569 times as well as putting up 863 runs. The Houston Astros have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .339 in addition to a team batting average of .267 on the season. The Astros hold a team slugging percentage of .444 and they are earning 5.33 runs per game (1st in baseball). They have struck out on 1,222 instances (29th in MLB) and have notched a total of 1,496 base hits.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.230 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.12 as a team this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.65 (1,456 strikeouts against 549 bases on balls). They are sitting at 5th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,229. They have yielded 187 homers and they give up 4.10 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The Houston pitching staff have allowed 658 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.76 (604 earned runs surrendered).

Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 36.1% out of their 202 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 166 times in high leverage situations and on 137 occasions with runners on. With 131 save situations, the Astros have recorded 69 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. They rank 24th in the league with a save rate of 55.7%, and they have sent 512 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Houston has called on relievers to enter the contest in 61 save chances and they have walked away with 34 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 126 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .988 (1st in pro baseball). The Astros have racked up 1,432 assists, 71 errors and have earned 4,335 putouts so far this season. Out of their 13,005 innings played, the Astros hold a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (3rd in baseball).

So far in his career, Urquidy has conceded 147 hits and he has 147 strikeouts in 177 frames. Urquidy (11-5 career record) has earned a 3.55 earned run average while giving up 7.4 hits per nine innings. He has given up 70 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.019 and a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 4.32 and he has gone up against 706 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-140)

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