Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/3/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros
Date: Thursday, June 3, 2021
Location: Minute Maid Park in Houston, TX
TV: AT&T SportsNet Southwest
Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+120) Houston (-152)
Jake Odorizzi and the Houston Astros (30-24, 2nd in AL West) host the Boston Red Sox (32-22, 2nd in AL East) at Minute Maid Park on Thursday. The Red Sox open this contest at +120 while the Astros are coming in at -152. The O/U is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Martin Perez and Jake Odorizzi.
The Red Sox have recorded 120 doubles as a unit and have knocked 69 baseballs out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging % of .441 and have struck out 476 times, while being walked on 142 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are earning 5.0 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 4th in the league. They have 250 runs batted in as well as 469 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average sits at .257. They are sitting with 270 runs and have an OBP of .317.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed 40 home runs and 229 runs in total (15th in the league). They have walked 189 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.47 as a unit this season. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.35. The Red Sox have an ERA of 3.98 this season (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 506 hitters.
The Red Sox have sent 171 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 79 runners for the season with 35.4% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 16 saves on the year and have not converted 7 of their 23 chances to save the game. The Red Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 69.6% and stepped onto the hill in 60 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 37 holds so far this year (5th in baseball). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 50 times as well as having 67 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Boston Red Sox have earned a total of 1,417 putouts thus far, as well as 483 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 25th in professional baseball, and they have twisted 373 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 65.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 4,251 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 30th in pro baseball.
Perez has thrown 1,039 innings and is sitting with 691 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.65 (537 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.467. He has conceded 1,143 hits (9.9 hits per nine innings) and has 382 free passes. Perez (59-63 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.46 and he has faced 4,531 opposing batters in the majors.
Houston has 61 long balls on the season to go along with 271 runs batted in. They have put up 101 two-baggers, while walking 189 times as well as scoring 289 runs. The Houston Astros have accounted for a team OBP of .338 as well as a batting average of .267 so far this season. The Astros hold a team slugging % of .425 and they are recording 5.35 runs per game (1st in the league). They have been rung up on 375 occasions (30th in baseball) and are sitting with 497 hits.
The Houston pitching staff have conceded 228 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.82 (206 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 69 dingers and they relinquish 4.23 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.195 and have a FIP of 4.25 as a team for the year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.68 (487 strikeouts vs 182 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 10th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 398.
Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 40.0% of 85 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 59 times in high leverage situations and on 54 occasions with base runners. With 47 save situations, the Astros have accumulated 26 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They sit at 26th in the league with a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 172 relievers onto the diamond so far this year. Houston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 20 save opportunities and they have recorded 10 saves.
The Houston Astros have twisted 44 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (3rd in pro baseball). The Astros have 452 assists, 22 errors and have earned a total of 1,457 putouts so far this season. In 4,371 innings played, the Astros have earned a defensive efficiency of 72.7% (2nd in the majors).
So far in his career, Odorizzi has allowed 947 hits while tallying 1,010 punch outs in 1,055 innings. Odorizzi (62-58 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.96 earned run average while allowing 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 464 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.240 and having a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.79 and he has faced 4,438 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+120)
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