Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/17/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees

Date: Saturday, July 17, 2021

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-113) New York (+103)

Jordan Montgomery and the New York Yankees (46-43, 4th in AL East) play the Boston Red Sox (55-36, 1st in AL East) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Red Sox coming in at -113 and the Yankees are at +103. The O/U is set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are Nathan Eovaldi and Jordan Montgomery.

The Red Sox have recorded 193 doubles as a team and have hit 115 baseballs out of the park. Boston has a slugging percentage of .439 and have been rung up 788 times, while drawing a walk on 261 occasions. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are earning 5.1 runs per game, which puts them at 4th in MLB. They have amassed 435 RBI's and 799 base knocks for the year, while their batting average is .259. They have a total of 464 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .322.

Red Sox pitchers have given up 93 long balls and also 407 total runs (18th in the league). They have walked 311 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.87 as a team so far this season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.39. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.09 on the campaign (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 848 hitters.

The Red Sox have dispatched 302 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have inherited 140 base runners for the year with 30.7% of them crossed the plate. They have compiled 29 saves so far this season and have blown 14 of their 43 save chances. The Red Sox bullpen have a save rate of 67.4% and has come into the game in 107 save situations. The bullpen have 61 holds on the campaign (1st in the league). Red Sox pitchers have come into the game with runners on 90 times and also have had 114 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have converted 65.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,248 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 30th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox have notched a total of 2,416 putouts for the season, in addition to 834 assists and 65 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .980 which has them sitting 30th in baseball, and have 648 double plays.

Eovaldi has taken the hill for 1,069 frames and has racked up 861 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 4.21 (500 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.345. He has given up 1,117 base hits (9.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 321 walks. Eovaldi (59-61 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.84 while he has faced 4,565 batters in the majors.

The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .394 and they average 4.16 runs per game (20th in MLB). They have put up 111 doubles, while taking a walk 359 times as well as putting up 370 runs. New York has tallied 114 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 341 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 810 occasions (11th in the league) and have recorded 692 base hits. The New York Yankees have accumulated an on-base percentage of .323 as well as a team batting average of .236 this season.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.173 with a FIP of 3.84 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.32 (841 strikeouts vs 253 bases on balls). They come in at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 669. They have allowed 104 long balls and they relinquish 4.23 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have relinquished 369 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 3.79 (331 earned runs relinquished).

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.5% out of 102 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 106 times in high leverage situations and on 77 occasions with base runners. With 68 save situations, the Yankees have tallied 36 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. They are currently ranked 5th in MLB holding a save rate of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 258 relievers to the hill on the campaign. New York has had relievers take the mound in 30 save chances and they have earned 21 saves.

The New York Yankees have twisted 65 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (16th in professional baseball). The Yankees have recorded 746 assists, 51 errors and have accounted for 2,358 putouts this year. In their 7,074 innings played, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (9th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Montgomery has surrendered 306 base hits while earning 314 K's in 323 innings pitched. He has conceded a total of 149 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.254 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His K/BB ratio is 3.14 and he has gone up against 1,365 hitters in his career. Montgomery (16-14 career record) has earned a 4.14 earned run average and has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (+103)

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