Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 5/1/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers

Date: Saturday, May 1, 2021

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Bally Sports Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-150) Texas (+135)

Jordan Lyles and the Texas Rangers (11-15, 5th in AL West) host the Boston Red Sox (16-10, 1st in AL East) at Globe Life Field on Saturday. The Rangers open this contest at +135 while the Red Sox are priced at -150. The total is set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Eduardo Rodriguez and Jordan Lyles.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .433 and have been rung up 218 times, while taking a walk on 72 occasions. They have amassed 109 RBI's in addition to 225 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .261. The Red Sox have recorded 61 doubles as a squad and have hit 27 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 123 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .325. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are recording 4.7 runs per game, which has them at 7th in baseball.

The Red Sox have an earned run average of 3.61 this year (10th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 247 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.78 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.25. Red Sox pitchers have given up 17 home runs in addition to 104 total runs (14th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 89 batters and their FIP sits at 3.23 as a team this year.

The Red Sox relievers have a save rate of 77.8% and has come into the game in 23 save situations. The relievers have inherited 33 runners on the year with 33.3% of those players crossed the plate. Red Sox relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 23 times and also have had 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 84 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have notched 14 holds on the season (11th in MLB). They have recorded 7 saves for the year and have blown 2 of their 9 chances to get a save.

The Boston Red Sox have amassed 688 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 231 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .981 which is 26th in the majors, and they have twisted 184 double plays. The Red Sox have turned 68.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 2,064 innings on the field, which ranks them 26th in the majors.

Rodriguez (55-31 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.92 while he has gone up against 3,063 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 677 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 249 walks. His ERA is 4.01 (322 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.283. Rodriguez has taken the hill for 722 innings and has accounted for 733 K's in his career.

The Rangers hold a team slugging percentage of .373 and they are earning 3.96 runs per game (22nd in baseball). They have notched 23 doubles, while walking 76 times as well as recording 103 runs. Texas has knocked in 31 home runs on the campaign as well as 99 runs batted in. They have struck out on 275 instances (1st in the league) and are sitting with 198 base hits. The Texas Rangers are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .304 in addition to a batting average of .231 this year.

The Texas pitching staff have surrendered 119 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.40 (112 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 35 dingers and they relinquish 4.67 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league). The Rangers have a team WHIP of 1.313 and have a FIP of 4.24 as a squad on the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 3.12 (212 strikeouts vs 68 free passes). They rank 30th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 233.

Texas has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 9 save chances and they have tallied 5 saves. They rank 20th in MLB holding a save rate of 55.6%, and they have sent 75 relievers to the mound on the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 17 times in high leverage situations in addition to 17 occasions with runners on. Texas bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 17.2% of 29 inherited base runners. With 18 save situations, the Rangers have earned 8 holds and also 4 blown saves.

In their 2,067 innings on the field, the Rangers hold a efficiency on defense of 68.2% (25th in the majors). The Texas Rangers have turned 21 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (19th in MLB). The Rangers have racked up 240 assists, 16 errors and have accounted for 689 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Lyles has surrendered 1,089 base hits and he has 752 K's in 991 innings pitched. Lyles (45-68 career win-loss record) has earned a 5.26 ERA and has given up 9.9 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 579 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.446 and having a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.19 and he has gone up against 4,384 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (+135)

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