Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 4/30/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Friday, April 30, 2021

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+110) Cincinnati (-120)

Wade Miley and the Cincinnati Reds (11-13, 4th in NL Central) host the Chicago Cubs (10-14, 5th in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The Reds open this matchup at -120 while the Cubs are coming in at +110. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Jake Arrieta and Wade Miley.

The Cubs have recorded 28 doubles as a squad and have hit 30 balls out of the stadium. Chicago has a slugging % of .375 and have struck out 248 times, while drawing a walk on 87 occasions. As a team, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.1 runs per outing, which puts them at 18th in the league. They have tallied 96 runs batted in as well as 154 hits this year, while their average at the plate is sitting at .203. They have notched a total of 99 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .298.

Cubs pitchers have conceded 31 home runs and also 117 runs in total (25th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 112 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.77 as a team this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.00 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.47. The Cubs have compiled a team earned run average of 4.86 on the year (29th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 224 batters.

Cubs bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 30 times and also have had 23 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 13 holds on the season (13th in baseball). The Cubs bullpen have a save percentage of 71.4% and stepped onto the hill in 21 save situations. They have earned 5 saves on the campaign and have blown 2 of 7 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 53 runners for the season and 30.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Cubs have sent 97 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year.

The Chicago Cubs have a total of 633 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 216 assists and 9 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which puts them in 3rd in baseball, and have a total of 150 double plays. The Cubs have turned 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,899 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 22nd in MLB.

Arrieta has pitched in 1,541 innings and has totaled 1,376 strikeouts during his MLB career. Arrieta (113-81 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.85 while he has faced 6,403 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.74 (640 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.219. He has conceded 1,341 base knocks (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 538 walks.

The Cincinnati Reds have accumulated an on-base percentage of .323 as well as a team batting average of .247 so far this season. They have been rung up on 228 occasions (11th in the league) and have totaled 202 base hits. Cincinnati has knocked in 35 HRs so far this year as well as 122 RBIs. The Reds have a team slugging % of .437 and they score 5.33 runs per contest (1st in MLB). They have recorded 42 doubles, while taking a walk 78 times as well as scoring 128 runs.

The Reds are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.347 and have a FIP of 4.64 as a staff so far this season. They come in at 14th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 181. The Cincinnati pitching staff have conceded 122 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.73 (112 earned runs relinquished). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 2.21 (234 strikeouts against 106 free passes). They have surrendered 34 homers and they relinquish 5.15 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB).

Cincinnati bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 46.2% of 39 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 24 times in high leverage situations in addition to 27 occasions with runners on. With 17 save situations, the Reds have accumulated 8 holds and also 5 blown saves. They rank 25th in baseball holding a save rate of 44.4%, and they have dispatched 86 relievers to the mound for the season. Cincinnati has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 9 save chances and they have come away with 4 saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have turned 21 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .983 (20th in the majors). The Reds have 204 assists, 15 errors and have earned a total of 639 putouts for the year. Out of their 1,917 innings played, the Reds have a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (13th in professional baseball).

During his career, Miley has allowed 1,480 base hits while tallying 1,143 strikeouts in 1,440 innings. He has allowed 674 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.378 and having a FIP of 4.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.27 and he has gone up against 6,181 opposing hitters in his career. Miley (87-87 career mark) holds a 4.21 ERA while allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+110)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here