Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 4/14/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, April 14, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+120) Milwaukee (-182)

Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers (6-4, 2nd in NL Central) play the Chicago Cubs (4-6, 4th in NL Central) at American Family Field on Wednesday. The Brewers open this game at -182 while the Cubs are priced at +120. The total opens at 7.5. The starting pitchers will be Jake Arrieta and Corbin Burnes.

The Cubs have recorded 9 doubles as a team and have knocked 12 balls out of the stadium. Chicago owns a slugging percentage of .321 and have been rung up 100 times, while drawing a walk on 36 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are scoring 2.9 runs per contest, which ranks them 30th in the league. They have 29 RBI's and 49 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .164. They have 29 runs while holding a team OBP of .264.

The Cubs have a team ERA of 4.30 so far this season (17th in the league), and their staff has struck out 104 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 44 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.81 as a team on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.36 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38. Cubs pitchers have conceded 9 home runs in addition to 43 total runs (15th in MLB).

The Cubs have sent 38 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 24 runners so far this year and 25.0% of those players ended up scoring. They have accumulated 3 saves for the year and have blown 1 of their 4 save opportunities. The Cubs relievers have earned a save percentage of 75.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 12 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 7 holds on the year (7th in the league). Cubs bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 13 times in addition to having 13 appearances in high leverage situations.

Arrieta (112-79 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.84 and he has faced 6,337 batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 1,332 hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 531 walks. His earned run average is 3.75 (635 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.221. Arrieta has taken the mound for 1,525 innings and has accumulated 1,359 punch outs so far in his career.

The Brewers have a team slugging percentage of .343 and they average 4.40 runs per outing (15th in baseball). They have 9 two-baggers, while taking a walk 35 times and scoring 44 runs. Milwaukee has hit 11 long balls on the season as well as 42 runs batted in. They have struck out on 106 occasions (3rd in the league) and are sitting with 70 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have compiled an on-base percentage of .294 and a team batting average of .207 this season.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.133 with a FIP of 4.12 as a team for the season. They are sitting at 26th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 62. The Milwaukee pitching staff have surrendered 36 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.20 (32 earned runs conceded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.45 (98 strikeouts vs 40 bases on balls). They have given up 11 HR's and they concede 3.60 runs per 9 innings (6th in MLB).

Sitting with 6 save situations, the Brewers have tallied 2 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Milwaukee has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 4 save chances and they have walked away with 2 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 8 times in high leverage situations and also on 6 occasions with runners on base. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 14.3% out of their 7 inherited runners. They sit at 23rd in baseball holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 32 relievers onto the diamond so far this season.

Burnes (12-7 career mark) has a 4.19 ERA and has given up 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.87 and he has faced 668 batters in his career. He has conceded a total of 74 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.201 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. Thus far in his career, Burnes has conceded 136 base hits while he has totaled 213 strikeouts in 159 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-182)

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