Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 6/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Monday, June 28, 2021

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+125) Milwaukee (-156)

American Family Field is the venue where Freddy Peralta and the Milwaukee Brewers (44-33, 1st in NL Central) will play the Chicago Cubs (42-35, 2nd in NL Central) on Monday. The Brewers open this matchup at -156 while the Cubs are coming in at +125. The over/under opens at 7. The starting pitchers will be Kyle Hendricks and Freddy Peralta.

The Cubs have hit 96 doubles as a unit and have knocked 104 balls out of the park. Chicago has a slugging rate of .400 and have been rung up 739 times, while drawing a walk on 241 occasions. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 16th in MLB. They have tallied 314 runs batted in and 558 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .225. They have tallied 329 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .303.

Cubs pitchers have given up 90 home runs and 306 runs in total (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 293 batters and their FIP comes in at 4.35 as a squad so far this season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.34 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.28. The Cubs have a team earned run average of 3.72 on the season (11th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 685 batters.

The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 79.3% and has entered the game in 87 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 120 runners on the campaign with 25.0% of those runners crossed home plate. Cubs bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 77 times and also have had 89 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have sent 284 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have recorded 57 holds on the season (1st in MLB). They have compiled 23 saves on the campaign and have blown 6 of 29 save opportunities.

The Chicago Cubs have amassed 1,987 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 729 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which has them sitting 5th in MLB, and have earned 483 double plays. The Cubs have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,961 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in professional baseball.

Hendricks has taken the ball for 1,134 innings and has accounted for 952 punch outs so far in his career. Hendricks (79-52 career mark) has a FIP of 3.65 while he has faced 4,599 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.17 (400 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.116. He has surrendered 1,023 base knocks (8.1 hits per nine innings) with 243 free passes.

Milwaukee has accumulated 90 home runs for the year to go along with 300 RBIs. They have notched 105 two-baggers, while getting a free base 279 times as well as putting up 314 runs. The Milwaukee Brewers hold a team OBP of .303 and a team batting average of .215 so far this year. The Brewers hold a team SLG% of .370 and they have an average of 4.08 runs per game (21st in baseball). They have been rung up on 757 occasions (3rd in MLB) and have totaled 542 base knocks.

The Brewers have a team WHIP of 1.183 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.78 as a squad over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.02 (798 strikeouts against 264 bases on balls). They are sitting at 7th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 551. They have given up 87 homers and they allow 4.02 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Milwaukee pitching staff have conceded 308 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.66 (280 earned runs allowed).

Milwaukee relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.9% out of their 58 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 95 times in high leverage situations and on 48 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 74 save situations, the Brewers have compiled 38 holds and 13 blown saves. They are ranked 12th in MLB holding a save percentage of 63.9%, and they have sent 245 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year. Milwaukee has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 36 save chances and they have walked away with 23 saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 40 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .983 (18th in pro baseball). The Brewers have 613 assists, 45 errors and have notched a total of 2,007 putouts so far this year. In 6,021 innings on the diamond, the Brewers have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.9% (9th in the majors).

In his pro baseball career, Peralta has surrendered 195 base knocks while totaling 372 punch outs in 273 innings pitched. He has conceded 119 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.158 and a FIP of 3.5. His K/BB ratio is 3.05 and he has gone up against 1,141 opposing hitters during his career. Peralta (23-10 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.91 ERA while conceding 6.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Chicago (+125)

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