Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/15/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, September 15, 2021

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+155) Philadelphia (-200)

Ranger Suarez and the Philadelphia Phillies (72-71, 2nd in NL East) play the Chicago Cubs (65-79, 4th in NL Central) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Cubs coming in at +155 and the Phillies are at -200. The over/under opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Alec Mills and Ranger Suarez.

As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 21st in baseball. They have a total of 616 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .305. The Cubs have tallied 191 doubles as a team and have smacked 188 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 586 RBI's and 1,093 hits this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .232. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .402 and have been called out on strikes 1,418 times, while drawing a walk on 427 occasions.

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The Cubs have a team earned run average of 4.75 on the year (25th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,225 hitters. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.39. Cubs pitchers have conceded 206 home runs in addition to 728 total runs (26th in MLB). They have walked 529 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.81 as a squad this year.

Cubs bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 150 times and also have had 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have notched 68 holds this season (16th in MLB). The Cubs relievers have recorded a save rate of 73.5% and has entered the game in 118 save situations. They have compiled 36 saves on the campaign and have missed out on 13 of their 49 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 245 runners so far this year with 34.3% of them crossed home plate. The Cubs have dispatched 531 relievers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Cubs have transformed 69.4% of balls in play into outs out of 11,352 innings, ranking them 21st in baseball. The Chicago Cubs have earned a total of 3,784 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,386 assists and 74 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which ranks 10th in the majors, and have 926 double plays.

Mills has taken the ball for 221 innings and has accumulated 189 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.24 (104 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.267. He has conceded 212 base hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 68 walks. Mills (12-12 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.44 and he has faced 931 batters during his time in the majors.

Philadelphia has a total of 176 home runs for the year as well as 621 runs batted in. They have recorded 226 doubles, while taking a walk 507 times as well as scoring 651 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have tallied an OBP of .318 and a team batting average of .240 on the year. The Phillies have a team SLG% of .409 and they earn 4.55 runs per contest (13th in the league). They have struck out on 1,237 occasions (18th in MLB) and have tallied 1,138 hits.

The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 670 runs for the season while holding an ERA of 4.46 (620 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 183 dingers and they concede 4.82 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.301 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.19 as a unit this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.93 (1,309 strikeouts vs 446 walks). They are sitting at 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,183.

Philadelphia has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 62 save chances and they have tallied 32 saves. They rank 28th in MLB with a save rate of 51.6%, and they have sent 461 relievers to the mound on the season. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 147 times in high leverage situations and on 129 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 42.6% out of 204 inherited runners. With 130 save situations, the Phillies have amassed 62 holds in addition to 30 blown saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have twisted 120 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .983 (24th in pro baseball). The Phillies have racked up 1,264 assists, 87 errors and have earned a total of 3,758 putouts for the season. In their 11,274 innings on the diamond, the Phillies hold a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (26th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Suarez has conceded 133 base knocks while he has accumulated 132 punch outs in 145 innings. Suarez (13-7 record in his career) has earned a 2.90 ERA while allowing 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 47 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.270 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His K/BB ratio is 2.54 and he has gone up against 612 opposing batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-200)

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