Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Saturday, April 10, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-172) Pittsburgh (+115)

Zach Davies and the Chicago Cubs (4-3, 3rd in NL Central) travel to PNC Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-6, 5th in NL Central). The Pirates open this contest at +115 while the Cubs are coming in at -172. The O/U has been set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zach Davies and Mitch Keller.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are scoring 3.3 runs/g, which has them sitting at 25th in MLB. They have earned 23 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .264. The Cubs have compiled 6 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 10 baseballs out of the park. They have 23 runs batted in and 32 hits for the season, while their batting average is at .157. Chicago has a slugging % of .343 and have struck out 67 times, while being walked on 28 occasions.

The Cubs have compiled a team ERA of 2.95 this season (6th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 73 hitters. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.43 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.19. Cubs pitchers have conceded 7 home runs in addition to 22 total runs (20th in the league). They have walked 30 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.86 as a team on the year.

Cubs bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 9 times as well as having 12 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 7 holds so far this season (2nd in the league). The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 100% and has entered the game in 11 save situations. They have earned 3 saves on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 16 base runners this year and 18.8% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Cubs have sent 27 relievers to the hill for the year.

Davies has taken the mound for 689 innings and has 502 punch outs so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.79 (290 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.275. He has given up 677 hits (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 202 walks. Davies (51-36 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.19 while going up against 2,890 batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Pirates have a team SLG% of .346 and they tally 2.71 runs per contest (29th in the league). They have 10 doubles, while walking 28 times as well as putting up 19 runs. Pittsburgh has accumulated 7 home runs over the course of the season as well as 19 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 69 occasions (9th in the league) and have totaled 46 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned a team OBP of .291 and a team batting average of .202 on the campaign.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.500 and are the owners of a FIP of 5.53 as a unit on the campaign. They sit at 10th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 58. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have allowed 46 runs this season while holding an ERA of 6.83 (44 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 2.38 (69 strikeouts against 29 walks). They have given up 14 home runs and they surrender 7.14 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB).

Pittsburgh relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 25.0% of 8 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 2 times in high leverage situations and on 6 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 5 save situations, the Pirates have 3 holds. They are ranked 5th in the league with a save percentage of 100%, and they have dispatched 30 relievers to the mound so far this year. 

In his MLB career, Keller has surrendered 83 base hits while tallying 85 punch outs in 72 innings pitched. Keller (2-7 career win-loss record) holds a 5.94 earned run average while giving up 10.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 48 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.665 and a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.24 and he has gone up against 329 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+115)

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