Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction, 4/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, PA

TV: AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-160) Pittsburgh (+145)

Trevor Williams and the Chicago Cubs (4-3, 3rd in NL Central) are headed to PNC Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Pittsburgh Pirates (1-6, 5th in NL Central). The Cubs open this contest at -160 while the Pirates are priced at +145. The total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Trevor Williams and JT Brubaker.

As a team, the Chicago Cubs are recording 3.3 runs per game, which has them sitting at 23rd in the league. They have earned 23 runs scored and hold an OBP of .264. The Cubs have compiled 6 doubles as a team and have hit 10 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 23 runs batted in as well as 32 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .157. Chicago has a slugging rate of .343 and have struck out 67 times, while drawing a walk on 28 occasions.

The Cubs hold a team ERA of 2.95 on the campaign (5th in MLB), and they have rung up 73 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 30 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 3.81 as a team this year. Their K/BB ratio is 2.43 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.19. Cubs pitchers have conceded 7 home runs and 22 runs in total (25th in the league).

The Cubs have dispatched 27 relievers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 16 base runners on the year and 18.8% of them crossed the plate. They have compiled 3 saves for the year. The Cubs relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 100% and has entered the game in 11 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 7 holds this season (2nd in the league). Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 9 times in addition to having 12 appearances in high leverage situations.

Williams has pitched in 540 innings and has earned 422 K's during his pro baseball career. Williams (32-37 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.55 and he has gone up against 2,314 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.41 (265 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.330. He has conceded 540 base hits (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 179 free passes.

The Pirates hold a slugging percentage of .346 and they are scoring 2.71 runs per outing (30th in MLB). They have hit 10 doubles, while taking a walk 28 times as well as putting up 19 runs. Pittsburgh has knocked in 7 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 19 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 69 instances (16th in baseball) and have 46 hits. The Pittsburgh Pirates have compiled an OBP of .291 in addition to a batting average of .202 so far this year.

The Pirates have a WHIP of 1.500 and are the owners of a FIP of 5.48 as a team for the season. They rank 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 58. The Pittsburgh pitching staff have relinquished 46 runs this year while having a team ERA of 6.83 (44 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 2.38 (69 strikeouts vs 29 walks). They have allowed 14 long balls and they relinquish 7.14 runs per 9 innings (30th in the league).

Pittsburgh has had relievers take the mound in 1 save chance and they have come away with 1 save. They are ranked 4th in baseball with a save rate of 100%, and they have dispatched 30 relievers onto the diamond for the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 2 times in high leverage situations and also on 6 occasions with runners on. Pittsburgh bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 25.0% out of 8 inherited runners. Sitting with 5 save situations, the Pirates have amassed 3 holds and also 0 blown saves.

During his MLB career, Brubaker has given up 51 hits while totaling 54 K's in 51 innings. He has given up a total of 27 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.403 and a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.57 and he has faced 225 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Brubaker (1-3 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.73 ERA while allowing 8.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+145)

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