Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 6/9/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres

Date: Wednesday, June 9, 2021

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+160) San Diego (-208)

Jake Arrieta and the Chicago Cubs (33-27, 2nd in NL Central) head to Petco Park on Wednesday where they'll meet the San Diego Padres (37-25, 2nd in NL West). The Cubs open this matchup at +160 while the Padres are coming in at -208. The O/U opens at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jake Arrieta and Yu Darvish.

As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are notching 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 13th in the league. They have accounted for 273 runs and hold an OBP of .314. The Cubs have earned 81 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 77 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 262 runs batted in and 464 hits for the year, while their team batting average is .236. Chicago has a slugging percentage of .407 and have been called out on strikes 566 times, while drawing a walk on 197 occasions.

Cubs pitchers have surrendered 72 home runs and also 248 total runs (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 225 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.37 as a unit on the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.42 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.33. The Cubs hold a team ERA of 3.82 this year (12th in the league), and the staff has struck out 544 batters.

The Cubs relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 73.9% and has entered the game in 74 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 107 base runners on the season with 25.2% of those runners crossed the plate. Cubs relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 70 times in addition to having 80 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 229 relievers to the hill on the campaign. The relievers have racked up 50 holds for the year (1st in baseball). They have accumulated 17 saves for the season and have not converted 6 of 23 save opportunities.

The Cubs have converted 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of 4,773 innings, which has them sitting 17th in professional baseball. The Chicago Cubs are sitting with 1,591 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 590 assists and 33 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which has them sitting 6th in baseball, and have 395 double plays.

Arrieta has taken the mound for 1,566 innings and is sitting with 1,392 strikeouts thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.81 (663 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.229. He has conceded 1,376 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 549 walks. Arrieta (115-85 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.92 while facing 6,523 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

San Diego has recorded 63 home runs so far this season as well as 267 runs batted in. They have hit 83 two-baggers, while getting a free base 246 times as well as notching 285 runs. The San Diego Padres have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .322 and a team batting average of .236 so far this season. The Padres have a SLG% of .377 and they earn 4.60 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have struck out on 511 occasions (20th in MLB) and have notched a total of 486 hits.

The Padres are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.115 with a FIP of 3.66 as a team for the season. They come in at 8th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 428. The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 210 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 2.89 (179 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 3.33 (643 strikeouts vs 193 bases on balls). They have given up 68 long balls and they concede 3.39 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).

San Diego has called on relievers to enter the contest in 32 save chances and they have come away with 22 saves. They sit at 9th in the league with a save rate of 68.8%, and they have sent 228 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 61 times in high leverage situations in addition to 38 occasions with runners on. San Diego relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 26.0% of 50 inherited base runners. Sitting with 70 save situations, the Padres have tallied 37 holds and 10 blown saves.

In their 5,016 innings played, the Padres have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (7th in pro baseball). The San Diego Padres have turned 55 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (28th in baseball). The Padres have recorded 524 assists, 43 errors and have earned a total of 1,672 putouts so far this season.

Thus far in his career, Darvish has given up 959 hits while he has accumulated 1,476 punch outs in 1,199 frames. He has allowed 452 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.146 and a FIP of 3.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.56 and he has gone up against 4,937 batters during his MLB career. Darvish (77-57 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.39 ERA and has surrendered 7.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take San Diego (-208)

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