Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, 7/19/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Monday, July 19, 2021

Location: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, MO

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (-111) St. Louis (-111)

Alec Mills and the Chicago Cubs (46-46, 3rd in NL Central) travel to Busch Stadium on Monday where they'll take on the St. Louis Cardinals (45-47, 4th in NL Central). The Cardinals open this matchup at -111 while the Cubs are coming in at -111. The O/U opens at 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Alec Mills and Johan Oviedo.

Chicago has a slugging percentage of .396 and have been called out on strikes 891 times, while being walked on 293 occasions. They have 370 RBI's in addition to 675 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .227. The Cubs have tallied 116 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 118 baseballs out of the park. They have racked up 387 runs scored and have an OBP of .306. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs are knocking in 4.2 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 19th in the league.

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The Cubs are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.07 over the course of the season (14th in the league), and their staff has struck out 811 hitters. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.33 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.31. Cubs pitchers have relinquished 117 home runs and 405 runs in total (14th in the league). They have walked 348 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.54 as a squad on the campaign.

Cubs relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 92 times in addition to having 96 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 59 holds on the campaign (6th in the league). The Cubs bullpen have compiled a save rate of 72.7% and stepped onto the hill in 93 save situations. They have compiled 24 saves this season and have blown 9 of their 33 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 144 runners this year and 30.6% of those runners ended up scoring. The Cubs have dispatched 338 relief pitchers to the hill for the season.

The Chicago Cubs have notched a total of 2,421 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 878 assists and 49 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which has them sitting 8th in pro baseball, and have earned 576 double plays. The Cubs have turned 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,263 innings, which has them ranked 7th in pro baseball.

Mills has taken the mound for 168 innings and has accounted for 155 K's so far in his MLB career. His earned run average is 4.34 (81 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.238. He has surrendered 150 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 58 free passes. Mills (10-8 career record) has a FIP of 4.50 while he has gone up against 705 opposing hitters in the majors.

St. Louis has accumulated 97 long balls so far this year as well as 348 RBIs. They have tallied 139 two-baggers, while getting a free base 270 times as well as notching 363 runs. The St. Louis Cardinals have earned an OBP of .302 and a batting average of .230 for the season. The Cardinals have a team slugging % of .380 and they are recording 3.95 runs per game (28th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 738 instances (27th in the league) and have accounted for 696 hits.

The St. Louis pitching staff have allowed 406 runs on the year while holding a team ERA of 4.23 (376 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 80 long balls and they surrender 4.57 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league). The Cardinals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.368 with a FIP of 4.43 as a team on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 1.77 (709 strikeouts against 400 free passes). They are currently ranked 12th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 693.

St. Louis bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 41.1% of 175 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 82 times in high leverage situations and also on 101 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 80 save situations, the Cardinals have earned 45 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They rank 1st in the league with a save rate of 78.8%, and they have dispatched 313 bullpen pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. St. Louis has called on relief pitchers to step onto the mound in 33 save chances and they have recorded 26 saves.

The St. Louis Cardinals have turned 70 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (13th in MLB). The Cardinals have recorded 830 assists, 52 errors and have a total of 2,398 putouts for the season. In 7,194 innings on the field, the Cardinals are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (6th in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Oviedo has conceded 77 base knocks and he has 56 K's in 77 innings pitched. Oviedo (0-8 record in his career) holds a 5.21 ERA while giving up 8.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 45 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.506 and a FIP of 5.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.40 and he has faced 356 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (-111)

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