Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/10/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, April 10, 2021

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+100) Arizona (-147)

Chase Field is the site where Riley Smith and the Arizona Diamondbacks (2-5, 5th in NL West) will take on the Cincinnati Reds (5-1, 1st in NL Central) on Saturday. The Diamondbacks open this game at -147 while the Reds are coming in at +100. The O/U has been set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jeff Hoffman and Riley Smith.

Cincinnati is slugging .602 and have been rung up 51 times, while being walked on 26 occasions. They have amassed 54 RBI's in addition to 65 hits this season, and their batting average is sitting at .316. The Reds have accumulated 11 doubles as a unit and have smacked 14 baseballs out of the park. They have notched a total of 57 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .400. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 9.5 runs per contest, which has them at 1st in baseball.

The Reds hold a team ERA of 3.83 on the campaign (13th in the league), and the staff has rung up 59 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.69 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.02. Reds pitchers have allowed 10 home runs in addition to 26 runs in total (17th in MLB). They have walked 16 hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.45 as a unit on the campaign.

The Reds have sent 19 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 9 base runners this season and 33.3% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have earned 1 save over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have accumulated 2 holds on the year (19th in baseball). Reds pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 6 times as well as having 3 appearances in high leverage situations.

Hoffman (11-16 career mark) has a FIP of 5.48 while he has gone up against 1,067 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 270 base hits (10.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 107 walks. His earned run average is 6.30 (165 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.600. Hoffman has taken the hill for 235 innings and is sitting with 203 K's in his pro baseball career.

Arizona has accumulated 8 HRs on the campaign to go along with 23 runs batted in. They have recorded 11 two-baggers, while getting a free base 20 times and scoring 25 runs. The Arizona Diamondbacks have compiled an OBP of .270 and a team batting average of .209 on the season. The Diamondbacks have a team slugging percentage of .364 and they score 3.57 runs per game (21st in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 67 occasions (10th in the league) and have earned 53 hits.

The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.532 and have a FIP of 5.37 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 1.81 (56 strikeouts vs 31 walks). They are sitting at 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 64. They have relinquished 11 homers and they yield 6.24 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 43 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 5.37 (37 earned runs relinquished).

Sitting with 11 save situations, the Diamondbacks have earned 7 holds and also 3 blown saves. Arizona has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 4 save chances and they have walked away with 1 save. Their relievers have come in 9 times in high leverage situations and on 7 occasions with base runners. Arizona relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 13.0% out of their 8 inherited runners. They are ranked 24th in the league with a save percentage of 25.0%, and they have dispatched 24 relievers onto the diamond so far this year.

Smith (2-0 record in his career) holds a 1.93 earned run average while surrendering 7.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.75 and he has gone up against 94 hitters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 5 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.200 and a FIP of 2.9. So far in his career, Smith has surrendered 20 base hits while tallying 22 strikeouts in 23 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+100)

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