Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/11/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, April 11, 2021

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-115) Arizona (+105)

Jose De Leon and the Cincinnati Reds (6-1, 1st in NL Central) head to Chase Field on Sunday where they'll meet the Arizona Diamondbacks (2-6, 5th in NL West). The Diamondbacks open this game at +105 while the Reds are coming in at -115. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Jose De Leon and Luke Weaver.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .580 and have been called out on strikes 59 times, while drawing a walk on 29 occasions. They have earned 60 runs batted in in addition to 76 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate sits at .310. The Reds have accrued 15 doubles as a squad and have smacked 15 baseballs out of the stadium. They have earned 63 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .391. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 9.0 runs per outing, which is 1st in MLB.

Reds pitchers have given up 11 home runs and also 31 total runs (13th in baseball). They have walked 25 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.48 as a squad so far this season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.09. The Reds hold a team ERA of 3.94 this season (14th in the league), and their staff has struck out 70 batters.

The Reds have sent 25 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 11 runners so far this season and 45.5% of them ended up scoring. They have 2 saves so far this year and have blown 1 of their 3 save opportunities. The Reds relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 6 save situations. The relievers have racked up 3 holds so far this year (15th in the league). Reds bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 8 times in addition to having 6 appearances in high leverage situations.

De Leon (4-0 career mark) holds a FIP of 6.74 while he has gone up against 172 hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 35 base knocks (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 26 free passes. His ERA is 7.79 (30 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.760. De Leon has thrown 34 frames and has tallied 43 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an OBP of .279 as well as a batting average of .205 on the campaign. They have been rung up on 78 occasions (6th in MLB) and have a total of 59 hits. Arizona is sitting with 9 home runs on the year to go along with 28 runs batted in. The Diamondbacks have a slugging percentage of .358 and they earn 3.75 runs per game (18th in baseball). They have put up 13 doubles, while walking 29 times as well as notching 30 runs.

The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.514 in addition to having a FIP of 5.14 as a team so far this year. They rank 2nd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 75. The Arizona pitching staff have surrendered 49 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 5.13 (41 earned runs conceded). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.88 (64 strikeouts vs 34 bases on balls). They have given up 12 HR's and they surrender 6.13 runs per 9 innings (25th in the league).

Arizona bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 13.0% out of 8 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 11 times in high leverage situations and also on 8 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 11 save situations, the Diamondbacks have 7 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They sit at 24th in MLB with a save rate of 25.0%, and they have sent 28 relief pitchers onto the field over the course of the season. Arizona has had relievers step onto the hill in 4 save opportunities and they have come away with 1 save.

During his career, Weaver has surrendered 377 base hits while he has totaled 365 K's in 355 innings. Weaver (20-29 mark in his career) has earned a 4.72 ERA while giving up 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 186 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.386 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.17 and he has gone up against 1,545 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-115)

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