Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 7/27/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Tuesday, July 27, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+145) Chicago (-192)

Wrigley Field is the site where Adbert Alzolay and the Chicago Cubs (49-51, 4th in NL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (51-48, 2nd in NL Central) on Tuesday. The Cubs open this contest at -192 while the Reds are priced at +145. The over/under opens at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Vladimir Gutierrez and Adbert Alzolay.

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Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .413 and have been called out on strikes 885 times, while being walked on 344 occasions. They have accumulated 454 runs batted in in addition to 830 hits this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .249. The Reds have tallied 168 two-baggers as a team and have hit 122 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 477 runs scored and hold an OBP of .330. As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 4.8 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 8th in baseball.

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Reds pitchers have yielded 131 long balls and 496 total runs (25th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 410 hitters and their FIP is 4.45 as a team for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 2.34 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.40. The Reds have an ERA of 4.61 for the year (22nd in baseball), and their staff has struck out 960 batters.

Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 115 times as well as having 125 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 42 holds so far this year (25th in the league). The Reds relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 59.2% and has come into the game in 93 save situations. They have accumulated 29 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 20 of their 49 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 168 runners for the year and 41.7% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have sent 368 relievers to the mound so far this year.

The Cincinnati Reds are sitting with 2,651 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 861 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which has them ranked 24th in MLB, and have a total of 636 double plays. The Reds have converted 68.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 7,953 innings, which ranks them 24th in the majors.

Gutierrez has pitched in 54 frames and has earned 37 punch outs during his career. Gutierrez (4-3 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 5.91 and he has faced 239 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.97 (30 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.454. He has conceded 54 hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 25 free passes.

The Chicago Cubs hold an OBP of .305 and a team batting average of .225 for the year. They have been rung up on 960 occasions (5th in MLB) and have earned a total of 729 hits. Chicago has hit 126 long balls on the campaign and 400 RBIs. The Cubs have a team slugging percentage of .394 and they are earning 4.21 runs per outing (20th in MLB). They have put up 131 two-baggers, while walking 315 times as well as recording 421 runs.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.323 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.55 as a staff for the season. They are sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 778. The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 442 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.08 (397 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.30 (878 strikeouts against 381 free passes). They have surrendered 128 home runs and they relinquish 4.54 runs per 9 innings (15th in the league).

Sitting with 96 save situations, the Cubs have 59 holds in addition to 9 blown saves. Chicago has had relief pitchers enter the game in 36 save opportunities and they have recorded 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 106 times in high leverage situations and also on 105 occasions with runners on. Chicago bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 28.6% of 168 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 1st in the league with a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 368 relievers to the mound this year.

In 7,887 innings on the diamond, the Cubs have a efficiency on defense of 70.6% (8th in pro baseball). The Chicago Cubs have twisted 81 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (9th in MLB). The Cubs have recorded 948 assists, 55 errors and have a tally of 2,629 putouts during this campaign.

Alzolay (6-12 career mark) has a 4.57 ERA and has surrendered 7.1 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.71 and he has gone up against 507 hitters in his career. He has conceded 62 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.189 and a FIP of 5.0. So far in his career, Alzolay has surrendered 96 base hits while accumulating 133 punch outs in 122 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+145)

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