Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 9/6/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday, September 6, 2021

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-167) Chicago (+130)

Sonny Gray and the Cincinnati Reds (73-64, 2nd in NL Central) head to Wrigley Field on Monday where they'll take on the Chicago Cubs (62-75, 4th in NL Central). The moneyline on this matchup has the Reds coming in at -167 and the Cubs are at +130. The O/U opens at 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Sonny Gray and Justin Steele.

As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are compiling 5.0 runs per contest, which is 7th in MLB. They have a total of 684 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .331. The Reds have hit 250 doubles as a unit and have hit 189 balls out of the stadium. They have recorded 658 RBI's and 1,153 hits on the campaign, while their batting average is at .251. Cincinnati has a slugging percentage of .433 and have struck out 1,240 times, while taking a walk on 475 occasions.

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The Reds have compiled a team ERA of 4.42 over the course of the season (18th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,288 batters. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.40 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. Reds pitchers have conceded 176 home runs in addition to 647 runs in total (19th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 537 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.40 as a team so far this year.

The Reds have sent 488 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 219 base runners on the season and 39.3% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have compiled 37 saves on the year and have missed out on 25 of 62 save chances. The Reds relievers have compiled a save rate of 59.7% and has come into the game in 129 save situations. The bullpen have tallied 65 holds so far this year (16th in the league). Reds relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 144 times as well as having 161 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have converted 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of 10,941 innings, which has them ranked 23rd in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have accounted for 3,647 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 1,198 assists and 73 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 11th in pro baseball, and they have turned 892 double plays.

Gray (82-69 career mark) has a FIP of 3.67 while he has gone up against 5,174 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 1,073 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 444 free passes. His ERA is 3.57 (492 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.223. Gray has taken the mound for 1,240 innings and has accounted for 1,193 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Chicago Cubs hold an OBP of .306 and a team batting average of .232 so far this year. They have been rung up on 1,352 instances (1st in baseball) and have tallied 1,038 hits. Chicago has tallied 176 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 553 RBIs. The Cubs have a SLG% of .401 and they score 4.26 runs per contest (21st in MLB). They have recorded 187 doubles, while getting a free base 413 times as well as racking up 584 runs.

The Cubs are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.375 with a FIP of 4.78 as a unit this year. They are sitting at 23rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,151. The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 685 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.66 (620 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 2.37 (1,174 strikeouts vs 495 free passes). They have conceded 196 homers and they surrender 5.15 runs per 9 innings (25th in baseball).

Chicago relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.0% of 227 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 139 times in high leverage situations in addition to 142 occasions with runners on base. With 114 save situations, the Cubs have recorded 68 holds and 11 blown saves. They rank 1st in MLB holding a save rate of 75.6%, and they have dispatched 506 relief pitchers onto the field for the year. Chicago has called on relievers to take the mound in 45 save opportunities and they have earned 34 saves.

The Chicago Cubs have turned 113 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (12th in professional baseball). The Cubs have accrued 1,310 assists, 74 errors and have a tally of 3,592 putouts so far this season. In their 10,776 innings played, the Cubs hold a defensive efficiency of 69.4% (20th in MLB).

Steele (3-2 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.48 earned run average and has conceded 6.7 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.19 and he has faced 133 opposing batters in his career. He has allowed a total of 12 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.258 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.3. So far in his career, Steele has allowed 23 base hits while earning 35 punch outs in 31 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+130)

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