Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 9/28/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Location: Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+110) Chicago (-147)

Reynaldo Lopez and the Chicago White Sox (88-68, 1st in AL Central) play the Cincinnati Reds (81-75, 3rd in NL Central) at Guaranteed Rate Field on Tuesday. The Reds open this contest at +110 while the White Sox are coming in at -147. The total has been set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Luis Castillo and Reynaldo Lopez.

The Reds have accounted for 282 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 212 balls out of the park. Cincinnati has a slugging % of .430 and have struck out 1,376 times, while being walked on 537 occasions. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.9 runs per contest, which has them at 9th in MLB. They have compiled 727 runs batted in as well as 1,302 base knocks this year, while their average at the plate sits at .249. They have racked up 757 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .329.

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The Reds have a team earned run average of 4.34 on the year (18th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,465 batters. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.46 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.35. Reds pitchers have relinquished 198 long balls and 726 total runs (18th in the league). They have walked 595 batters and their FIP sits at 4.33 as a unit so far this season.

The Reds have sent 557 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 231 base runners so far this year with 38.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 41 saves for the year and have blown 26 of their 67 chances to save the game. The Reds bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 61.2% and stepped onto the hill in 142 save situations. The relief pitchers have tallied 73 holds for the year (17th in baseball). Reds pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 155 times and also have had 185 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have transformed 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,459 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 20th in the majors. The Cincinnati Reds have amassed 4,153 putouts this year, in addition to 1,365 assists and 88 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .984 which has them sitting 19th in MLB, and have earned 1,014 double plays.

Castillo has taken the ball for 702 innings and has accounted for 765 K's so far in his career. Castillo (40-49 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.76 while facing 2,920 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.73 (291 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.217. He has conceded 598 hits (7.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 256 walks.

The Chicago White Sox have compiled a team on-base percentage of .335 as well as a batting average of .255 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 1,342 instances (16th in the league) and have recorded 1,316 base knocks. Chicago has a total of 179 home runs so far this year as well as 722 RBIs. The White Sox hold a slugging percentage of .418 and they are recording 4.87 runs per contest (8th in the league). They have 262 doubles, while taking a walk 560 times and putting up 760 runs.

The White Sox have a WHIP of 1.206 and have a FIP of 3.75 as a squad so far this season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.31 (1,540 strikeouts vs 465 walks). They rank 3rd in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,162. They have surrendered 179 home runs and they concede 4.12 runs per 9 innings (6th in baseball). The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 617 runs this season while holding an ERA of 3.75 (562 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 158 save situations, the White Sox have recorded 88 holds in addition to 25 blown saves. Chicago has had relievers take the mound in 66 save chances and they have earned 41 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 150 times in high leverage situations and on 127 occasions with runners on. Chicago relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.5% out of 194 inherited base runners. They are ranked 12th in MLB holding a save percentage of 62.1%, and they have sent 488 relief pitchers to the mound for the season.

Out of their 12,144 innings played, the White Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (19th in MLB). The Chicago White Sox have turned 103 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .982 (27th in the majors). The White Sox have recorded 1,166 assists, 95 errors and have a tally of 4,048 putouts during this campaign.

Lopez (29-37 career mark) has earned a 4.62 earned run average and has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.30 and he has gone up against 2,334 opposing batters during his pro baseball career. He has given up 278 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.351 and having a FIP of 4.8. During his pro baseball career, Lopez has conceded 529 hits while totaling 467 strikeouts in 542 frames.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cincinnati (+110)

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