Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Indians Prediction, 5/7/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Cleveland Indians

Date: Friday, May 7, 2021

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: SportsTime Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+124) Cleveland (-134)

Progressive Field is the venue where Zach Plesac and the Cleveland Indians (16-13, 2nd in AL Central) will play the Cincinnati Reds (14-15, 4th in NL Central) on Friday. The Reds open this contest at +124 while the Indians are coming in at -134. The O/U has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Wade Miley and Zach Plesac.

Cincinnati is slugging .434 and have struck out 279 times, while being walked on 98 occasions. They have earned 144 runs batted in in addition to 241 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .245. The Reds have tallied 48 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 43 balls out of the park. They have earned 152 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .325. As a team, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 5.2 runs per game, which is 1st in MLB.

Reds pitchers have surrendered 41 home runs in addition to 152 total runs (26th in MLB). They have walked 127 batters and their FIP sits at 4.60 as a team on the year. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.24 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.37. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 4.92 this season (26th in the league), and they have struck out 285 batters.

Reds pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 35 times as well as having 33 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 10 holds for the year (25th in the league). The Reds bullpen have earned a save rate of 41.7% and has come into the game in 22 save situations. They have earned 5 saves this season and have blown 7 out of their 12 save opportunities. The relievers have inherited 51 runners on the season with 45.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Reds have sent 106 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Reds have converted 70.1% of baseballs in play into outs in their 2,340 innings on the field, which ranks them 17th in pro baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have a total of 780 putouts for the season, as well as 258 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which ranks 10th in pro baseball, and have 176 double plays.

Miley has thrown 1,445 innings and is sitting with 1,146 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. Miley (88-87 career record) has a FIP of 4.12 and he has gone up against 6,203 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.21 (676 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.378. He has surrendered 1,485 base knocks (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 506 free passes.

The Indians have a SLG% of .390 and they score 4.24 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They have put up 44 doubles, while taking a walk 100 times and putting up 123 runs. Cleveland has accounted for 39 home runs for the year as well as 118 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 246 instances (25th in MLB) and have earned a total of 198 hits. The Cleveland Indians have a team OBP of .289 and a team batting average of .209 so far this year.

The Indians have a team WHIP of 1.190 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.25 as a staff for the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.90 (287 strikeouts against 99 walks). They have a ranking of 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 207. They have surrendered 41 home runs and they give up 4.06 runs per 9 innings (8th in baseball). The Cleveland pitching staff have yielded 116 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 3.74 (107 earned runs surrendered).

With 24 save situations, the Indians have earned 12 holds and 2 blown saves. Cleveland has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 12 save chances and they have recorded 10 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 25 times in high leverage situations and on 22 occasions with base runners. Cleveland relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of 28 inherited base runners. They rank 4th in MLB holding a save percentage of 83.3%, and they have dispatched 91 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season.

The Cleveland Indians have turned 19 double plays and have a fielding rate of .981 (21st in pro baseball). The Indians have 268 assists, 20 errors and have 773 putouts on the season. In 2,319 innings on the diamond, the Indians have a efficiency on defense of 71.8% (6th in MLB).

Plesac (14-11 career record) has a 3.55 earned run average and has surrendered 7.6 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.19 and he has faced 815 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. He has given up a total of 80 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.103 and having a FIP of 4.4. So far in his career, Plesac has surrendered 171 base knocks while he has earned 169 K's in 203 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's baseball game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cleveland (-134)

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