Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 8/25/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Wednesday, August 25, 2021
Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (+145) Milwaukee (-192)
Brandon Woodruff and the Milwaukee Brewers (76-49, 1st in NL Central) play the Cincinnati Reds (69-57, 2nd in NL Central) at American Family Field on Wednesday. The line on this game has the Reds priced at +145 and the Brewers are at -192. The O/U is set at 7.5. The starting pitchers are Luis Castillo and Brandon Woodruff.
As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are recording 5.1 runs/g, which puts them at 5th in baseball. They have earned 637 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .333. The Reds have tallied 230 doubles as a unit and have knocked 176 balls out of the park. They have tallied 613 runs batted in and 1,073 base knocks this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .252. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .435 and have struck out 1,133 times, while being walked on 442 occasions.
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Reds pitchers have surrendered 160 home runs and 598 total runs (20th in MLB). They have walked 506 opposing players and their FIP is 4.38 as a team on the year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.37 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.37. The Reds have a team ERA of 4.40 for the season (18th in MLB), and they have rung up 1,200 batters.
Reds pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 135 times as well as having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have tallied 61 holds this season (16th in the league). The Reds relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 60.0% and has stepped onto the mound in 123 save situations. They have compiled 36 saves so far this year and have not converted 24 out of their 60 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 202 runners so far this year with 38.6% of them ended up scoring. The Reds have dispatched 453 relievers to the hill for the season.
The Reds have converted 69.0% of balls in play into outs out of 10,122 innings on the field, which has them sitting 22nd in professional baseball. The Cincinnati Reds have notched a total of 3,374 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,109 assists and 69 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which puts them in 14th in professional baseball, and they have turned 822 double plays.
Castillo has thrown 664 innings and has tallied 723 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Castillo (39-45 career record) has earned a FIP of 3.81 while he has gone up against 2,767 hitters during his time in the majors. His ERA is 3.78 (279 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.219. He has allowed 566 base knocks (7.7 hits per 9 innings) with 244 free passes.
The Milwaukee Brewers have compiled an on-base percentage of .320 and a team batting average of .234 over the course of the season. They have struck out on 1,150 occasions (6th in baseball) and have notched a total of 970 hits. Milwaukee has a total of 156 HRs this year as well as 554 runs batted in. The Brewers have a SLG% of .401 and they score 4.67 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have put up 193 two-baggers, while taking a walk 458 times and scoring 584 runs.
The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.187 with a FIP of 3.66 as a staff over the course of the season. They come in at 2nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 890. The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 467 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.37 (416 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 2.90 (1,246 strikeouts against 429 free passes). They have surrendered 120 HR's and they give up 3.78 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB).
Milwaukee has had relievers step onto the mound in 58 save chances and they have walked away with 35 saves. They sit at 17th in the league with a save percentage of 60.3%, and they have sent 416 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 158 times in high leverage situations and also on 83 occasions with runners on. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.8% out of their 116 inherited runners. With 125 save situations, the Brewers have recorded 65 holds and 23 blown saves.
The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 76 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .982 (25th in professional baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,043 assists, 79 errors and have amassed 3,333 putouts this season. In their 9,999 innings on the diamond, the Brewers are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (6th in MLB).
Woodruff (26-18 record in his career) holds a 3.25 ERA while giving up 7.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.25 and he has faced 1,716 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed 154 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.068 and a FIP of 3.2. So far in his career, Woodruff has conceded 342 hits while he has totaled 480 punch outs in 426 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-192)
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