Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/31/2021 MLB Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets

Date: Saturday, July 31, 2021

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: SNY

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-105) New York (-116)

Wade Miley and the Cincinnati Reds (54-49, 2nd in NL Central) are headed to Citi Field on Saturday where they'll meet the New York Mets (54-47, 1st in NL East). The Reds open this matchup at -105 while the Mets are coming in at -116. The O/U is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Wade Miley and Rich Hill.

Cincinnati has a slugging % of .420 and have struck out 918 times, while being walked on 357 occasions. They have amassed 480 RBI's as well as 877 hits this year, and their batting average is at .251. The Reds have accounted for 179 doubles as a squad and have hit 131 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accounted for 504 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .332. As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 7th in MLB.

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Reds pitchers have relinquished 139 home runs in addition to 512 runs in total (24th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 428 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.51 as a team for the season. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.32 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.40. The Reds hold a team earned run average of 4.57 this year (21st in the league), and their staff has struck out 994 hitters.

The Reds have sent 383 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 177 base runners on the campaign with 40.1% of them earned a run for their team. They have compiled 29 saves this year and have blown 21 out of their 50 chances to get a save. The Reds relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 58.0% and has entered the game in 97 save situations. The bullpen have notched 45 holds so far this year (23rd in baseball). Reds relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 119 times in addition to having 131 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Reds have turned 68.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 8,271 innings on the field, which has them sitting 24th in MLB. The Cincinnati Reds have a tally of 2,757 putouts this season, as well as 895 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding rate is at .983 which has them sitting 20th in MLB, and have a total of 663 double plays.

Miley has taken the mound for 1,525 innings and has accounted for 1,213 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.14 (702 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.376. He has allowed 1,566 base hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 532 free passes. Miley (93-89 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 4.07 while facing 6,545 hitters during his time in the majors.

The Mets hold a team slugging % of .388 and they tally 3.85 runs per contest (28th in MLB). They have tallied 133 doubles, while taking a walk 316 times and recording 389 runs. New York has recorded 111 long balls on the season and 374 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 858 occasions (23rd in baseball) and have a total of 756 base knocks. The New York Mets have earned a team on-base percentage of .316 as well as a batting average of .237 for the season.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.208 and have a FIP of 3.79 as a team for the season. They rank 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 733. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 387 runs for the year while having an ERA of 3.58 (339 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.12 (919 strikeouts vs 295 bases on balls). They have conceded 106 home runs and they allow 4.09 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 46 save opportunities and they have come away with 30 saves. They are currently ranked 9th in baseball with a save percentage of 65.2%, and they have sent 319 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 102 times in high leverage situations and on 78 occasions with runners on. New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 120 inherited base runners. With 94 save situations, the Mets have recorded 47 holds in addition to 16 blown saves.

In their 7,662 innings on the field, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (13th in MLB). The New York Mets have turned 76 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (12th in MLB). The Mets have recorded 808 assists, 53 errors and have 2,554 putouts over the course of the season.

So far in his MLB career, Hill has allowed 883 hits while tallying 1,127 K's in 1,076 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 455 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.218 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.63 and he has gone up against 4,502 batters so far in his career. Hill (73-48 career record) is the owner of a 3.80 earned run average while giving up 7.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-105)

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